Delaware’s at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in statewide voter registration patterns and recent election results, with the current incumbent positioned for reelection in November 2026. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats based on historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with this structural edge, as no major developments in the past month have introduced competitive pressure or shifted the balance. Primaries scheduled for September remain the next procedural milestone, but the district’s partisan composition and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations. A significant national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the primary, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,150 Vol.
94%
共和党
$161 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in statewide voter registration patterns and recent election results, with the current incumbent positioned for reelection in November 2026. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats based on historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with this structural edge, as no major developments in the past month have introduced competitive pressure or shifted the balance. Primaries scheduled for September remain the next procedural milestone, but the district’s partisan composition and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations. A significant national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the primary, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,311終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in statewide voter registration patterns and recent election results, with the current incumbent positioned for reelection in November 2026. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats based on historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with this structural edge, as no major developments in the past month have introduced competitive pressure or shifted the balance. Primaries scheduled for September remain the next procedural milestone, but the district’s partisan composition and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations. A significant national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the primary, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,311終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in statewide voter registration patterns and recent election results, with the current incumbent positioned for reelection in November 2026. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid for Democrats based on historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with this structural edge, as no major developments in the past month have introduced competitive pressure or shifted the balance. Primaries scheduled for September remain the next procedural milestone, but the district’s partisan composition and incumbency dynamics continue to anchor expectations. A significant national Republican wave, an unusually strong GOP nominee after the primary, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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