Delaware's at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory by a double-digit margin in a state that has consistently favored Democratic candidates in federal contests. With primaries scheduled for September 15, McBride faces minimal primary opposition, while Republicans field several lesser-known contenders without notable fundraising or polling momentum. The district's strong Democratic lean, combined with historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive redistricting or major scandals, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP mobilization in the final weeks could narrow the outcome, though structural factors limit such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,045 Vol.
$11,045 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$11,045 Vol.
$11,045 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,789 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,256 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory by a double-digit margin in a state that has consistently favored Democratic candidates in federal contests. With primaries scheduled for September 15, McBride faces minimal primary opposition, while Republicans field several lesser-known contenders without notable fundraising or polling momentum. The district's strong Democratic lean, combined with historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive redistricting or major scandals, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP mobilization in the final weeks could narrow the outcome, though structural factors limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$11,045終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory by a double-digit margin in a state that has consistently favored Democratic candidates in federal contests. With primaries scheduled for September 15, McBride faces minimal primary opposition, while Republicans field several lesser-known contenders without notable fundraising or polling momentum. The district's strong Democratic lean, combined with historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive redistricting or major scandals, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP mobilization in the final weeks could narrow the outcome, though structural factors limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,045終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat features incumbent Democrat Sarah McBride seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory by a double-digit margin in a state that has consistently favored Democratic candidates in federal contests. With primaries scheduled for September 15, McBride faces minimal primary opposition, while Republicans field several lesser-known contenders without notable fundraising or polling momentum. The district's strong Democratic lean, combined with historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive redistricting or major scandals, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A significant national Republican wave, late-breaking personal or legal developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP mobilization in the final weeks could narrow the outcome, though structural factors limit such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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