Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$0 Vol.
92%
共和党
$416 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$416終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$416終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman dominates trader sentiment in the CA-02 House race with commanding fundraising—over $1 million cash on hand as of late March—bolstered by the district's Solid Democratic Cook rating and D+13 partisan voting index, where Kamala Harris won by 25 points in 2024. Huffman's past general election margins exceed 70%, reflecting strong Democratic voter registration and coastal North Coast base despite redistricting additions of inland GOP-leaning counties like Shasta. Multiple Republican primary challengers—Tim Geist, Robin Littau, Paul Saulsbury, and Angelita Valles—split the vote ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, paving a likely favorable November 3 general matchup. Odds reflect this structural edge, though a scandal, health issue, or national Republican wave could narrow the path.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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