Oregon’s 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index and has delivered Democratic victories by wide margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 68.6 percent share in 2024, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 against challenger Jamil Ahmad while Republican contenders remain limited to lower-profile candidates in this Portland-area district covering western suburbs, Beaverton, Hillsboro, and coastal counties. Historical registration advantages and consistent performance in presidential and congressional voting reinforce the market’s assessment. Shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen primary upset or major late-cycle developments that alter turnout or national conditions heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,822 Vol.
95%
共和党
$872 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index and has delivered Democratic victories by wide margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 68.6 percent share in 2024, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 against challenger Jamil Ahmad while Republican contenders remain limited to lower-profile candidates in this Portland-area district covering western suburbs, Beaverton, Hillsboro, and coastal counties. Historical registration advantages and consistent performance in presidential and congressional voting reinforce the market’s assessment. Shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen primary upset or major late-cycle developments that alter turnout or national conditions heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,694終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index and has delivered Democratic victories by wide margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 68.6 percent share in 2024, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 against challenger Jamil Ahmad while Republican contenders remain limited to lower-profile candidates in this Portland-area district covering western suburbs, Beaverton, Hillsboro, and coastal counties. Historical registration advantages and consistent performance in presidential and congressional voting reinforce the market’s assessment. Shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen primary upset or major late-cycle developments that alter turnout or national conditions heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,694終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st congressional district carries a D+20 partisan voting index and has delivered Democratic victories by wide margins in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 68.6 percent share in 2024, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, faces a Democratic primary on May 19 against challenger Jamil Ahmad while Republican contenders remain limited to lower-profile candidates in this Portland-area district covering western suburbs, Beaverton, Hillsboro, and coastal counties. Historical registration advantages and consistent performance in presidential and congressional voting reinforce the market’s assessment. Shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen primary upset or major late-cycle developments that alter turnout or national conditions heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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