The decisive Democratic victory in New Jersey's 11th congressional district special election on April 16 has anchored trader consensus around the party nominee. Mikie Sherrill's resignation after winning the governorship opened the seat in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Analilia Mejia prevailed in a crowded primary and then defeated Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 23 points in the general, consistent with recent polling and the area's voting history. Certification processes and any narrow procedural disputes represent the primary remaining variables that could theoretically affect final resolution, though the margin limits realistic pathways for reversal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-11
$15,297 Vol.
$15,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$15,297 Vol.
$15,297 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$12,046 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$3,251 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The decisive Democratic victory in New Jersey's 11th congressional district special election on April 16 has anchored trader consensus around the party nominee. Mikie Sherrill's resignation after winning the governorship opened the seat in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Analilia Mejia prevailed in a crowded primary and then defeated Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 23 points in the general, consistent with recent polling and the area's voting history. Certification processes and any narrow procedural disputes represent the primary remaining variables that could theoretically affect final resolution, though the margin limits realistic pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$15,297Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The decisive Democratic victory in New Jersey's 11th congressional district special election on April 16 has anchored trader consensus around the party nominee. Mikie Sherrill's resignation after winning the governorship opened the seat in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Analilia Mejia prevailed in a crowded primary and then defeated Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 23 points in the general, consistent with recent polling and the area's voting history. Certification processes and any narrow procedural disputes represent the primary remaining variables that could theoretically affect final resolution, though the margin limits realistic pathways for reversal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,297Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The decisive Democratic victory in New Jersey's 11th congressional district special election on April 16 has anchored trader consensus around the party nominee. Mikie Sherrill's resignation after winning the governorship opened the seat in a district with a modest Democratic lean. Analilia Mejia prevailed in a crowded primary and then defeated Republican Joe Hathaway by roughly 23 points in the general, consistent with recent polling and the area's voting history. Certification processes and any narrow procedural disputes represent the primary remaining variables that could theoretically affect final resolution, though the margin limits realistic pathways for reversal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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