The Democratic Party maintains a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race because the suburban district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, reinforced by the party's 60 percent victory in the April 2026 special election that filled the vacancy created when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. Labor organizer Analilia Mejia, who prevailed in the February primary and captured the special general, now serves as the sitting representative and enters the June 2 primary for the full term with strong party infrastructure and fundraising advantages over Republican Joe Hathaway. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index favor continued Democratic control, though a national political shift, an unexpectedly strong Republican primary challenger, or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$15,297 Vol.
$15,297 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$15,297 Vol.
$15,297 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,046 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$3,251 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party maintains a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race because the suburban district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, reinforced by the party's 60 percent victory in the April 2026 special election that filled the vacancy created when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. Labor organizer Analilia Mejia, who prevailed in the February primary and captured the special general, now serves as the sitting representative and enters the June 2 primary for the full term with strong party infrastructure and fundraising advantages over Republican Joe Hathaway. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index favor continued Democratic control, though a national political shift, an unexpectedly strong Republican primary challenger, or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$15,297End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party maintains a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race because the suburban district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, reinforced by the party's 60 percent victory in the April 2026 special election that filled the vacancy created when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. Labor organizer Analilia Mejia, who prevailed in the February primary and captured the special general, now serves as the sitting representative and enters the June 2 primary for the full term with strong party infrastructure and fundraising advantages over Republican Joe Hathaway. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index favor continued Democratic control, though a national political shift, an unexpectedly strong Republican primary challenger, or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,297End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party maintains a commanding position in the New Jersey 11th congressional district race because the suburban district has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, reinforced by the party's 60 percent victory in the April 2026 special election that filled the vacancy created when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. Labor organizer Analilia Mejia, who prevailed in the February primary and captured the special general, now serves as the sitting representative and enters the June 2 primary for the full term with strong party infrastructure and fundraising advantages over Republican Joe Hathaway. Historical voting patterns and the district's partisan voting index favor continued Democratic control, though a national political shift, an unexpectedly strong Republican primary challenger, or late-cycle developments could narrow the margin before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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