Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around the party's 94.5% implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination with a decisive 74.6% in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed. These structural advantages and primary consolidation explain the current pricing. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unexpected national midterm wave favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$47,739 Vol.
$47,739 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
2%
$47,739 Vol.
$47,739 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$21,353 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$26,386 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around the party's 94.5% implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination with a decisive 74.6% in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed. These structural advantages and primary consolidation explain the current pricing. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unexpected national midterm wave favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volumen
$47,739Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around the party's 94.5% implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination with a decisive 74.6% in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed. These structural advantages and primary consolidation explain the current pricing. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unexpected national midterm wave favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$47,739Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, which underpins trader consensus around the party's 94.5% implied probability. All major forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination with a decisive 74.6% in the August 11 special primary, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed. These structural advantages and primary consolidation explain the current pricing. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unexpected national midterm wave favoring Democrats, or unusually elevated turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets of the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes