Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,545 Vol.
$18,545 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$18,545 Vol.
$18,545 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,262 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$13,282 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volumen
$18,545Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,545Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+27—the fifth most Republican nationally—has delivered GOP House victories by 57 to 78 percentage points in recent cycles, including Barry Moore's 78% win in 2024 before he shifted to a Senate bid, leaving the seat open. This structural dominance, affirmed by Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party ahead of the May 19 primary. A crowded GOP field led by former Rep. Jerry Carl and state Rep. Rhett Marques in recent polls and fundraising has unified around conservative priorities, facing unopposed Democrat Clyde Jones, whose modest $11,700 cash-on-hand signals limited challenge. Recent candidate forums and tightening primary polls have drawn attention without altering the general election outlook. An improbable Democratic upset would require a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, extraordinary national anti-Republican wave, or depressed GOP turnout in this safe seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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