Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans since 2011, factors that anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented and underfunded. Nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory scenarios for Democrats even in a nationally favorable cycle. These structural elements—incumbency, district fundamentals, and early-cycle positioning—account for the current 77.5 percent Republican probability versus 20 percent Democratic odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
78%
Partido Demócrata
20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,055 Vol.
78%
Partido Demócrata
$3,736 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans since 2011, factors that anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented and underfunded. Nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory scenarios for Democrats even in a nationally favorable cycle. These structural elements—incumbency, district fundamentals, and early-cycle positioning—account for the current 77.5 percent Republican probability versus 20 percent Democratic odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$7,792Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans since 2011, factors that anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented and underfunded. Nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory scenarios for Democrats even in a nationally favorable cycle. These structural elements—incumbency, district fundamentals, and early-cycle positioning—account for the current 77.5 percent Republican probability versus 20 percent Democratic odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,792Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district carries an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and has been held by Republicans since 2011, factors that anchor trader consensus around a Republican hold. Incumbent Tony Wied, first elected in 2024 with 57.3 percent of the vote, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries, while Democratic contenders remain fragmented and underfunded. Nonpartisan raters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited path-to-victory scenarios for Democrats even in a nationally favorable cycle. These structural elements—incumbency, district fundamentals, and early-cycle positioning—account for the current 77.5 percent Republican probability versus 20 percent Democratic odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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