The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-07
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-07
$21,235 Vol.
$21,235 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
$21,235 Vol.
$21,235 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,501 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$9,734 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$21,235Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,235Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez's retirement opens the seat for a June 23 primary among progressive candidates, but the general election on November 3 remains noncompetitive given the Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods' voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 70 percent for Democrats. Republican nominees face structural barriers with limited path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. Recent primary polling and endorsements have not altered the broader outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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