Recent polls have propelled Democrat George Whitesides ahead of incumbent Republican Mike Garcia in California's 27th Congressional District, with Emerson College (Oct. 21-23) showing Whitesides at 48% to Garcia's 38%, and RMG Research (Oct. 25-27) at 47%-40%. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democratic on Oct. 24, reflecting Whitesides' fundraising edge—over $10 million raised versus Garcia's $3 million—and his aerospace background resonating in this Antelope Valley district. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 78%, capturing these polling gains amid early voting, while Republicans trail at 11% despite Garcia's Trump endorsement. With Election Day on Nov. 5, shifts in turnout or late spending could still influence the closely watched battleground.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedCA-27 House Election Winner
CA-27 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
11%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
78%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls have propelled Democrat George Whitesides ahead of incumbent Republican Mike Garcia in California's 27th Congressional District, with Emerson College (Oct. 21-23) showing Whitesides at 48% to Garcia's 38%, and RMG Research (Oct. 25-27) at 47%-40%. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democratic on Oct. 24, reflecting Whitesides' fundraising edge—over $10 million raised versus Garcia's $3 million—and his aerospace background resonating in this Antelope Valley district. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 78%, capturing these polling gains amid early voting, while Republicans trail at 11% despite Garcia's Trump endorsement. With Election Day on Nov. 5, shifts in turnout or late spending could still influence the closely watched battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polls have propelled Democrat George Whitesides ahead of incumbent Republican Mike Garcia in California's 27th Congressional District, with Emerson College (Oct. 21-23) showing Whitesides at 48% to Garcia's 38%, and RMG Research (Oct. 25-27) at 47%-40%. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democratic on Oct. 24, reflecting Whitesides' fundraising edge—over $10 million raised versus Garcia's $3 million—and his aerospace background resonating in this Antelope Valley district. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 78%, capturing these polling gains amid early voting, while Republicans trail at 11% despite Garcia's Trump endorsement. With Election Day on Nov. 5, shifts in turnout or late spending could still influence the closely watched battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls have propelled Democrat George Whitesides ahead of incumbent Republican Mike Garcia in California's 27th Congressional District, with Emerson College (Oct. 21-23) showing Whitesides at 48% to Garcia's 38%, and RMG Research (Oct. 25-27) at 47%-40%. The Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democratic on Oct. 24, reflecting Whitesides' fundraising edge—over $10 million raised versus Garcia's $3 million—and his aerospace background resonating in this Antelope Valley district. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 78%, capturing these polling gains amid early voting, while Republicans trail at 11% despite Garcia's Trump endorsement. With Election Day on Nov. 5, shifts in turnout or late spending could still influence the closely watched battleground.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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