The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement triggered a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and other Democratic contenders, with only one Republican filing. National midterm dynamics and the district's Ventura County voter base have shown no recent shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Republican general election victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far beyond historical precedent in this area.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,423 Vol.
$26,423 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$26,423 Vol.
$26,423 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,026 Vol.
93%
共和党
$12,398 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement triggered a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and other Democratic contenders, with only one Republican filing. National midterm dynamics and the district's Ventura County voter base have shown no recent shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Republican general election victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far beyond historical precedent in this area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$26,423終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement triggered a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and other Democratic contenders, with only one Republican filing. National midterm dynamics and the district's Ventura County voter base have shown no recent shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Republican general election victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far beyond historical precedent in this area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,423終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Incumbent Julia Brownley's retirement triggered a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin and other Democratic contenders, with only one Republican filing. National midterm dynamics and the district's Ventura County voter base have shown no recent shifts capable of altering the outcome. A Republican general election victory would require an unprecedented swing in turnout or national conditions far beyond historical precedent in this area.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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