California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, urban Los Angeles demographics, and consistent historical margins exceeding 35 points. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who assumed office in January 2025 following Adam Schiff's Senate election, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican options before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A meaningful shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
$12,568 Объем
$12,568 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
$12,568 Объем
$12,568 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,001 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$6,567 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, urban Los Angeles demographics, and consistent historical margins exceeding 35 points. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who assumed office in January 2025 following Adam Schiff's Senate election, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican options before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A meaningful shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$12,568Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, urban Los Angeles demographics, and consistent historical margins exceeding 35 points. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who assumed office in January 2025 following Adam Schiff's Senate election, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican options before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A meaningful shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,568Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 30th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in voter registration advantages, urban Los Angeles demographics, and consistent historical margins exceeding 35 points. Incumbent Democrat Laura Friedman, who assumed office in January 2025 following Adam Schiff's Senate election, faces a June 2 top-two primary against several Democratic challengers and limited Republican options before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A meaningful shift would require major unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals, scandals, or substantial national political realignments within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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