Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his strong May polling advantage of 34 points over incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with left-leaning voter coalitions in Brooklyn and Manhattan. Goldman’s moderate positioning and the district’s divisions over Israel-Gaza policy contributed to Lander’s momentum as part of a broader 2026 primary wave targeting incumbents. Final certified results showed Lander securing roughly 64 percent to Goldman’s 36 percent, confirming the wide margin. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include delayed vote certification, recounts in close precincts, or legal challenges over ballot eligibility, though historical patterns in New York primaries indicate these rarely reverse double-digit outcomes once initial tallies are reported.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLander oltre il 30% 100.0%
Lander 20–30% <1%
Lander 10–20% <1%
Lander <10% <1%
$76,812 Vol.
$76,812 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Lander oltre il 30%
Sì
Lander 20–30%
No
Lander 10–20%
No
Lander <10%
No
Goldman vince
No
Altro
No
Lander oltre il 30% 100.0%
Lander 20–30% <1%
Lander 10–20% <1%
Lander <10% <1%
$76,812 Vol.
$76,812 Vol.
23 giu 2026
Lander oltre il 30%
$48,285 Vol.
Sì
Lander 20–30%
$9,382 Vol.
No
Lander 10–20%
$12,598 Vol.
No
Lander <10%
$3,360 Vol.
No
Goldman vince
$1,112 Vol.
No
Altro
$2,075 Vol.
No
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his strong May polling advantage of 34 points over incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with left-leaning voter coalitions in Brooklyn and Manhattan. Goldman’s moderate positioning and the district’s divisions over Israel-Gaza policy contributed to Lander’s momentum as part of a broader 2026 primary wave targeting incumbents. Final certified results showed Lander securing roughly 64 percent to Goldman’s 36 percent, confirming the wide margin. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include delayed vote certification, recounts in close precincts, or legal challenges over ballot eligibility, though historical patterns in New York primaries indicate these rarely reverse double-digit outcomes once initial tallies are reported.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Volume
$76,812Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his strong May polling advantage of 34 points over incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with left-leaning voter coalitions in Brooklyn and Manhattan. Goldman’s moderate positioning and the district’s divisions over Israel-Gaza policy contributed to Lander’s momentum as part of a broader 2026 primary wave targeting incumbents. Final certified results showed Lander securing roughly 64 percent to Goldman’s 36 percent, confirming the wide margin. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include delayed vote certification, recounts in close precincts, or legal challenges over ballot eligibility, though historical patterns in New York primaries indicate these rarely reverse double-digit outcomes once initial tallies are reported.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$76,812Data di fine
23 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Brad Lander’s commanding lead in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his strong May polling advantage of 34 points over incumbent Dan Goldman, combined with endorsements from progressive figures including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and alignment with left-leaning voter coalitions in Brooklyn and Manhattan. Goldman’s moderate positioning and the district’s divisions over Israel-Gaza policy contributed to Lander’s momentum as part of a broader 2026 primary wave targeting incumbents. Final certified results showed Lander securing roughly 64 percent to Goldman’s 36 percent, confirming the wide margin. Scenarios that could still shift resolution include delayed vote certification, recounts in close precincts, or legal challenges over ballot eligibility, though historical patterns in New York primaries indicate these rarely reverse double-digit outcomes once initial tallies are reported.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti