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Politica·New York

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politica·New York

NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Charles Park 14%

Grace Meng 0

Yan Xiong 0

Polymarket
NUOVO

Charles Park 14%

Grace Meng 0

Yan Xiong 0

Polymarket
NUOVO

Charles Park

$224 Vol.

20%

Grace Meng

$524 Vol.

58%

Yan Xiong

$496 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng holds a trader consensus edge at 56.5% implied probability to win New York's 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her strong incumbency advantage, $1.4 million in fundraising as of late March—far outpacing challengers—and endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and NYSUT. Challenger Yan Xiong draws 36.3% support from name recognition as a Tiananmen Square dissident, U.S. veteran, and pastor resonating with the district's large Chinese immigrant communities in Flushing and Elmhurst, despite minimal reported funds. Charles Park garners 20.0% on momentum from his mid-March grassroots campaign kickoff, April 8 NY1 media spotlight on his progressive platform and Obama-era diplomatic experience, and NYPAN backing, amid recent April 16 petition filings confirming the three-way race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,243
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Grace Meng holds a trader consensus edge at 56.5% implied probability to win New York's 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by her strong incumbency advantage, $1.4 million in fundraising as of late March—far outpacing challengers—and endorsements from State Sen. John Liu and NYSUT. Challenger Yan Xiong draws 36.3% support from name recognition as a Tiananmen Square dissident, U.S. veteran, and pastor resonating with the district's large Chinese immigrant communities in Flushing and Elmhurst, despite minimal reported funds. Charles Park garners 20.0% on momentum from his mid-March grassroots campaign kickoff, April 8 NY1 media spotlight on his progressive platform and Obama-era diplomatic experience, and NYPAN backing, amid recent April 16 petition filings confirming the three-way race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,243
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Grace Meng" a 58%, seguito da "Yan Xiong" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 58¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Dec 19, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Grace Meng" a 58%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Yan Xiong" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.