Wesley Bell holds a clear lead as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District primary, building on his 2024 victory over Cori Bush in a high-spending contest marked by substantial outside support. Recent polling shows Bell ahead by a modest margin with notable undecided voters, while his stronger fundraising and cash reserves provide organizational advantages heading into the August 4 contest. Bush’s rematch effort has not closed the gap despite her established base, leaving traders to price the outcome in line with incumbency patterns and resource differentials typical in safe Democratic districts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$13,556 Vol.
$13,556 Vol.
Wesley Bell
72%
Cori Bush
29%
$13,556 Vol.
$13,556 Vol.
Wesley Bell
72%
Cori Bush
29%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a clear lead as the Democratic incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District primary, building on his 2024 victory over Cori Bush in a high-spending contest marked by substantial outside support. Recent polling shows Bell ahead by a modest margin with notable undecided voters, while his stronger fundraising and cash reserves provide organizational advantages heading into the August 4 contest. Bush’s rematch effort has not closed the gap despite her established base, leaving traders to price the outcome in line with incumbency patterns and resource differentials typical in safe Democratic districts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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