United Russia maintains its leading position in the September 2026 State Duma election through incumbency advantages, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and alignment with executive institutions that shape voter mobilization and district outcomes, including territories incorporated since 2022. New People has emerged as the main challenger among systemic parties by positioning itself as a fresh alternative, with recent VCIOM polling placing it second in voter intentions and projections targeting expanded representation in single-member districts. Preparations by the presidential administration, including adjustments to informal seat quotas for parliamentary opposition parties and intensified oversight of the process, reinforce the established hierarchy while limiting space for genuine challengers. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Quale partito otterrà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari russe?
Russia Unita (ER) 55%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 36.7%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.6%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) 3.0%
$10,096,735 Vol.
$10,096,735 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
55%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
37%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
6%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
3%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 55%
Nuovi Persone (NL) 36.7%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) 5.6%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) 3.0%
$10,096,735 Vol.
$10,096,735 Vol.
30 set 2026
Russia Unita (ER)
$3,257,255 Vol.
55%
Nuovi Persone (NL)
$1,249,347 Vol.
37%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
$2,369,157 Vol.
6%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
$735,589 Vol.
3%
Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
$644,259 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$1,147,446 Vol.
<1%
Piattaforma Civica (GP)
$695,643 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its leading position in the September 2026 State Duma election through incumbency advantages, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and alignment with executive institutions that shape voter mobilization and district outcomes, including territories incorporated since 2022. New People has emerged as the main challenger among systemic parties by positioning itself as a fresh alternative, with recent VCIOM polling placing it second in voter intentions and projections targeting expanded representation in single-member districts. Preparations by the presidential administration, including adjustments to informal seat quotas for parliamentary opposition parties and intensified oversight of the process, reinforce the established hierarchy while limiting space for genuine challengers. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$10,096,735Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its leading position in the September 2026 State Duma election through incumbency advantages, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and alignment with executive institutions that shape voter mobilization and district outcomes, including territories incorporated since 2022. New People has emerged as the main challenger among systemic parties by positioning itself as a fresh alternative, with recent VCIOM polling placing it second in voter intentions and projections targeting expanded representation in single-member districts. Preparations by the presidential administration, including adjustments to informal seat quotas for parliamentary opposition parties and intensified oversight of the process, reinforce the established hierarchy while limiting space for genuine challengers. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$10,096,735Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its leading position in the September 2026 State Duma election through incumbency advantages, centralized candidate selection via electronic primaries, and alignment with executive institutions that shape voter mobilization and district outcomes, including territories incorporated since 2022. New People has emerged as the main challenger among systemic parties by positioning itself as a fresh alternative, with recent VCIOM polling placing it second in voter intentions and projections targeting expanded representation in single-member districts. Preparations by the presidential administration, including adjustments to informal seat quotas for parliamentary opposition parties and intensified oversight of the process, reinforce the established hierarchy while limiting space for genuine challengers. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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