The Democratic vice presidential nomination for 2028 shows a fragmented field with no dominant contender, as multiple figures hold comparable implied probabilities between 15% and 23%. This tight distribution reflects the extended timeline until the next presidential cycle, leaving ample opportunity for shifts driven by 2026 midterm results, state-level performance, and evolving party coalitions. Potential nominees ranging from congressional leaders to governors and national profiles compete without clear frontrunners, consistent with historical patterns where selections often hinge on geographic balance, demographic considerations, and alignment with the eventual presidential nominee. Upcoming electoral tests and legislative developments could consolidate support for particular candidates as the window narrows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDemocratic VP Nominee 2028
Michelle Obama 22.7%
Elissa Slotkin 18.2%
Barack Obama 18.1%
Zohran Mamdani 15.9%
$14,351 Vol.
$14,351 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19%
Pete Buttigieg
19%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
18%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
12%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
4%
J.B. Pritzker
12%
Raphael Warnock
16%
Cory Booker
14%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
23%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
12%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
16%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
18%
Hillary Clinton
5%
Liz Cheney
4%
Bernie Sanders
9%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
7%
Oprah Winfrey
12%
Andrew Yang
4%
Beto O’Rourke
13%
Kim Kardashian
14%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
13%
Elissa Slotkin
18%
Michelle Obama 22.7%
Elissa Slotkin 18.2%
Barack Obama 18.1%
Zohran Mamdani 15.9%
$14,351 Vol.
$14,351 Vol.
Gavin Newsom
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19%
Pete Buttigieg
19%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
18%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
12%
Gretchen Whitmer
10%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
4%
J.B. Pritzker
12%
Raphael Warnock
16%
Cory Booker
14%
Tim Walz
4%
Michelle Obama
23%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
12%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
16%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
18%
Hillary Clinton
5%
Liz Cheney
4%
Bernie Sanders
9%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
15%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
7%
Oprah Winfrey
12%
Andrew Yang
4%
Beto O’Rourke
13%
Kim Kardashian
14%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
7%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
13%
Elissa Slotkin
18%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic vice presidential nomination for 2028 shows a fragmented field with no dominant contender, as multiple figures hold comparable implied probabilities between 15% and 23%. This tight distribution reflects the extended timeline until the next presidential cycle, leaving ample opportunity for shifts driven by 2026 midterm results, state-level performance, and evolving party coalitions. Potential nominees ranging from congressional leaders to governors and national profiles compete without clear frontrunners, consistent with historical patterns where selections often hinge on geographic balance, demographic considerations, and alignment with the eventual presidential nominee. Upcoming electoral tests and legislative developments could consolidate support for particular candidates as the window narrows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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