Iván Cepeda's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% for topping Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from consistent polling leads of 38-42% in recent surveys like Atlas Intel (April 6-9), far ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (23-25%), reflecting Historic Pact unity post-March primaries and key endorsements from most Alianza Verde congress members. Fragmented right-wing candidacies prevent consolidation, bolstering Cepeda's path to the June 21 runoff despite trailing in hypothetical second-round matchups. Challenges could arise from right-wing mergers, scandals tied to President Petro's administration, or security incidents like recent death threats amplifying opposition turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?
Vincitore del 1° turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Colombia?
Iván Cepeda Castro 94%
Abelardo de la Espriella 3.1%
Paloma Valencia 1.0%
Claudia López <1%
$2,649,857 Vol.
$2,649,857 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
94%
Abelardo de la Espriella
3%
Paloma Valencia
1%
Claudia López
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Iván Cepeda Castro 94%
Abelardo de la Espriella 3.1%
Paloma Valencia 1.0%
Claudia López <1%
$2,649,857 Vol.
$2,649,857 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$146,806 Vol.
94%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$542,721 Vol.
3%
Paloma Valencia
$282,331 Vol.
1%
Claudia López
$103,957 Vol.
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$87,200 Vol.
<1%
Roy Barreras
$119,719 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$65,959 Vol.
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$67,441 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$65,075 Vol.
<1%
Vicky Dávila
$282,588 Vol.
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$133,860 Vol.
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$198,126 Vol.
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$87,837 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$122,576 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
$104,663 Vol.
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$124,035 Vol.
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$78,469 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% for topping Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from consistent polling leads of 38-42% in recent surveys like Atlas Intel (April 6-9), far ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (23-25%), reflecting Historic Pact unity post-March primaries and key endorsements from most Alianza Verde congress members. Fragmented right-wing candidacies prevent consolidation, bolstering Cepeda's path to the June 21 runoff despite trailing in hypothetical second-round matchups. Challenges could arise from right-wing mergers, scandals tied to President Petro's administration, or security incidents like recent death threats amplifying opposition turnout.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,649,857Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% for topping Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from consistent polling leads of 38-42% in recent surveys like Atlas Intel (April 6-9), far ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (23-25%), reflecting Historic Pact unity post-March primaries and key endorsements from most Alianza Verde congress members. Fragmented right-wing candidacies prevent consolidation, bolstering Cepeda's path to the June 21 runoff despite trailing in hypothetical second-round matchups. Challenges could arise from right-wing mergers, scandals tied to President Petro's administration, or security incidents like recent death threats amplifying opposition turnout.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,649,857Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iván Cepeda's commanding trader consensus at 93.5% for topping Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from consistent polling leads of 38-42% in recent surveys like Atlas Intel (April 6-9), far ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella (27-29%) and Paloma Valencia (23-25%), reflecting Historic Pact unity post-March primaries and key endorsements from most Alianza Verde congress members. Fragmented right-wing candidacies prevent consolidation, bolstering Cepeda's path to the June 21 runoff despite trailing in hypothetical second-round matchups. Challenges could arise from right-wing mergers, scandals tied to President Petro's administration, or security incidents like recent death threats amplifying opposition turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti