United Russia maintains overwhelming frontrunner status in the September 2026 State Duma elections as Russia's dominant ruling party, entering with a large constitutional majority of seats and benefiting from structural advantages including institutional control, candidate registration processes, and alignment with Kremlin priorities. Recent leadership restructuring placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list, while 2025 regional contests reinforced its position through affiliated victories amid limited competition. Other registered parties including the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People hold marginal current representation and face barriers to broader mobilization. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen shifts in elite dynamics, turnout patterns, or external events within the final weeks before the three-day vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRussia Unita (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$3,158,103 Vol.
$3,158,103 Vol.

Russia Unita (ER)
98%

Yabloko
1%

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
<1%

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%

Nuovi Persone (NL)
<1%

Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
Russia Unita (ER) 98.3%
Yabloko <1%
Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR) <1%
Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF) <1%
$3,158,103 Vol.
$3,158,103 Vol.

Russia Unita (ER)
98%

Yabloko
1%

Partito Liberal Democratico di Russia (LDPR)
<1%

Partito Comunista della Federazione Russa (KPRF)
<1%

Nuovi Persone (NL)
<1%

Russia Giusta – Per la Verità (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Piattaforma Civica (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercato aperto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains overwhelming frontrunner status in the September 2026 State Duma elections as Russia's dominant ruling party, entering with a large constitutional majority of seats and benefiting from structural advantages including institutional control, candidate registration processes, and alignment with Kremlin priorities. Recent leadership restructuring placed figures such as Dmitry Medvedev at the top of its list, while 2025 regional contests reinforced its position through affiliated victories amid limited competition. Other registered parties including the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People hold marginal current representation and face barriers to broader mobilization. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen shifts in elite dynamics, turnout patterns, or external events within the final weeks before the three-day vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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