The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election produced results that left the incumbent People's Party (PP) with 53 seats in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. This outcome followed pre-election polling aggregates that placed PP support between 54 and 57 seats, with models assigning roughly 80 percent odds of retaining a majority. The PP's seat total declined from 58 in 2022 amid gains for the far-right Vox party and smaller left-wing groups, while the Socialists (PSOE) recorded their weakest performance in the region in decades. These confirmed seat counts and the absence of any recount or legal challenges have aligned trader consensus with the view that an outright PP majority will not materialize, prompting expectations of coalition negotiations with Vox.