Ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election for the 109-seat Parliament, where absolute majority requires 55 seats, recent polls drive trader consensus toward "No" at 57%, as Partido Popular (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads strongly but hovers at 54-57 seats. Surveys from mid-April, including IMOP Insights on April 16 and THE OBJECTIVE on April 6, project PP at 43-44% amid PSOE's historic collapse to 20-24 seats and Vox steady at 13-19%, fragmenting opposition without securing PP's outright control. No major catalysts in the past week, but campaign dynamics and Vox's moderated rise keep the absolute threshold contested.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
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Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election for the 109-seat Parliament, where absolute majority requires 55 seats, recent polls drive trader consensus toward "No" at 57%, as Partido Popular (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads strongly but hovers at 54-57 seats. Surveys from mid-April, including IMOP Insights on April 16 and THE OBJECTIVE on April 6, project PP at 43-44% amid PSOE's historic collapse to 20-24 seats and Vox steady at 13-19%, fragmenting opposition without securing PP's outright control. No major catalysts in the past week, but campaign dynamics and Vox's moderated rise keep the absolute threshold contested.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$78Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election for the 109-seat Parliament, where absolute majority requires 55 seats, recent polls drive trader consensus toward "No" at 57%, as Partido Popular (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads strongly but hovers at 54-57 seats. Surveys from mid-April, including IMOP Insights on April 16 and THE OBJECTIVE on April 6, project PP at 43-44% amid PSOE's historic collapse to 20-24 seats and Vox steady at 13-19%, fragmenting opposition without securing PP's outright control. No major catalysts in the past week, but campaign dynamics and Vox's moderated rise keep the absolute threshold contested.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$78Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election for the 109-seat Parliament, where absolute majority requires 55 seats, recent polls drive trader consensus toward "No" at 57%, as Partido Popular (PP) under incumbent president Juanma Moreno leads strongly but hovers at 54-57 seats. Surveys from mid-April, including IMOP Insights on April 16 and THE OBJECTIVE on April 6, project PP at 43-44% amid PSOE's historic collapse to 20-24 seats and Vox steady at 13-19%, fragmenting opposition without securing PP's outright control. No major catalysts in the past week, but campaign dynamics and Vox's moderated rise keep the absolute threshold contested.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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