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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino
Mondo·Elezioni Mondiali

Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino
Mondo·Elezioni Mondiali

Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino

Linke 67%

CDU 23%

AfD 8.5%

Verdi 2.9%

Polymarket

$3,646,497 Vol.

Linke 67%

CDU 23%

AfD 8.5%

Verdi 2.9%

Polymarket

$3,646,497 Vol.

icon for Linke

Linke

$222,505 Vol.

67%

icon for CDU

CDU

$291,469 Vol.

23%

icon for AfD

AfD

$2,461,873 Vol.

8%

icon for Verdi

Verdi

$186,430 Vol.

3%

icon for SPD

SPD

$399,592 Vol.

1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$20,953 Vol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$15,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$48,502 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) The 2026 Berlin state election on September 20 features a tight race for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus, with recent Infratest dimap and other polls placing Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at 21-23% versus 20-21%, followed by the AfD at 17-18%. Trader positioning aligns with this pattern, reflecting Die Linke's consistent polling edge after gains in the capital's left-leaning districts and the CDU's candidate shift from Kai Wegner to Stefan Evers following criticism of the governing mayor's handling of earlier crises. The SPD's standing has weakened further amid investigations into its lead candidate, while the AfD's rise remains constrained by coalition barriers. Voting changes, including expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds and a unified ballot, add modest uncertainty to turnout calculations in the final week.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$3,646,497
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) The 2026 Berlin state election on September 20 features a tight race for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus, with recent Infratest dimap and other polls placing Die Linke narrowly ahead of the CDU at 21-23% versus 20-21%, followed by the AfD at 17-18%. Trader positioning aligns with this pattern, reflecting Die Linke's consistent polling edge after gains in the capital's left-leaning districts and the CDU's candidate shift from Kai Wegner to Stefan Evers following criticism of the governing mayor's handling of earlier crises. The SPD's standing has weakened further amid investigations into its lead candidate, while the AfD's rise remains constrained by coalition barriers. Voting changes, including expanded eligibility for 16- and 17-year-olds and a unified ballot, add modest uncertainty to turnout calculations in the final week.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$3,646,497
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for L'AfD vincerà il terzo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

L'AfD vincerà il terzo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

37%
Sì
icon for I Verdi vinceranno il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

I Verdi vinceranno il quarto maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

47%
Sì
icon for Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

38%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Linke" a 67%, seguito da "CDU" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 67¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 67% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" ha generato $3.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 2, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" è "Linke" a 67%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 67% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "CDU" a 23%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.