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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino

Market icon
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino

CDU 57%

Verdi 15.3%

Linke 12%

AfD 9.2%

Polymarket

$2,572,578 Vol.

CDU 57%

Verdi 15.3%

Linke 12%

AfD 9.2%

Polymarket

$2,572,578 Vol.

La CDU vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

CDU

$15,140 Vol.

57%

I Verdi vinceranno il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

Verdi

$27,805 Vol.

15%

Linke vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

Linke

$11,555 Vol.

12%

L'AfD vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

AfD

$2,187,196 Vol.

9%

L'SPD vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

SPD

$287,320 Vol.

8%

Il BSW vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

BSW

$26,261 Vol.

1%

L'FDP vincerà il maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

FDP

$10,274 Vol.

<1%

FW vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026? icon

FW

$7,026 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Trader consensus favors CDU at 57.5% to win the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its incumbency advantage under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner in the CDU-SPD grand coalition senate. Recent INSA polling from April 7–14 shows CDU leading at 21%, narrowly ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%, with BSW at 4% and FDP at 3%; poll averages like dawum.de's Wahltrend confirm this ~5-point edge amid a fragmented five-way race. National CDU momentum and consistent state leads drive optimism, though odds exceed aggregator trends showing a tighter contest, underscoring uncertainty until coalition negotiations post-election. No major shifts in the past week, with district council votes concurrent.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$2,572,578
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Trader consensus favors CDU at 57.5% to win the Berlin state election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its incumbency advantage under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner in the CDU-SPD grand coalition senate. Recent INSA polling from April 7–14 shows CDU leading at 21%, narrowly ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%, with BSW at 4% and FDP at 3%; poll averages like dawum.de's Wahltrend confirm this ~5-point edge amid a fragmented five-way race. National CDU momentum and consistent state leads drive optimism, though odds exceed aggregator trends showing a tighter contest, underscoring uncertainty until coalition negotiations post-election. No major shifts in the past week, with district council votes concurrent.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$2,572,578
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "CDU" a 57%, seguito da "Verdi" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 57¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" ha generato $2.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 2, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" è "CDU" a 57%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 57% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Verdi" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni statali di Berlino" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.