The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 follows Nigel Farage’s resignation from the Reform UK seat, with an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000. Trader consensus heavily favors the 20k–30k turnout band because by-elections routinely produce lower participation than general elections, and this contest features a record 34 candidates on the longest UK ballot paper, summer timing, and a boycott by Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. These elements reduce mobilization incentives and media focus compared with the 2024 general election’s 58% turnout. Recent polling shows Farage retaining a large lead among decided voters, yet the fragmented field and procedural hurdles around postal and proxy votes further dampen expectations of higher engagement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato20k-30k 79%
30k-40k 15%
10k-20k 2.9%
40k-50k 2.6%
$40,973 Vol.
$40,973 Vol.
13 ago 2026
<10k
<1%
10k-20k
3%
20k-30k
79%
30k-40k
15%
40k-50k
3%
50k-60k
<1%
60mila+
<1%
20k-30k 79%
30k-40k 15%
10k-20k 2.9%
40k-50k 2.6%
$40,973 Vol.
$40,973 Vol.
13 ago 2026
<10k
$1,077 Vol.
<1%
10k-20k
$14,683 Vol.
3%
20k-30k
$7,477 Vol.
79%
30k-40k
$10,860 Vol.
15%
40k-50k
$4,695 Vol.
3%
50k-60k
$1,029 Vol.
<1%
60mila+
$1,265 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 follows Nigel Farage’s resignation from the Reform UK seat, with an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000. Trader consensus heavily favors the 20k–30k turnout band because by-elections routinely produce lower participation than general elections, and this contest features a record 34 candidates on the longest UK ballot paper, summer timing, and a boycott by Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. These elements reduce mobilization incentives and media focus compared with the 2024 general election’s 58% turnout. Recent polling shows Farage retaining a large lead among decided voters, yet the fragmented field and procedural hurdles around postal and proxy votes further dampen expectations of higher engagement.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$40,973Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 follows Nigel Farage’s resignation from the Reform UK seat, with an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000. Trader consensus heavily favors the 20k–30k turnout band because by-elections routinely produce lower participation than general elections, and this contest features a record 34 candidates on the longest UK ballot paper, summer timing, and a boycott by Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. These elements reduce mobilization incentives and media focus compared with the 2024 general election’s 58% turnout. Recent polling shows Farage retaining a large lead among decided voters, yet the fragmented field and procedural hurdles around postal and proxy votes further dampen expectations of higher engagement.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$40,973Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026 follows Nigel Farage’s resignation from the Reform UK seat, with an electorate of roughly 78,000–80,000. Trader consensus heavily favors the 20k–30k turnout band because by-elections routinely produce lower participation than general elections, and this contest features a record 34 candidates on the longest UK ballot paper, summer timing, and a boycott by Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats, and Greens. These elements reduce mobilization incentives and media focus compared with the 2024 general election’s 58% turnout. Recent polling shows Farage retaining a large lead among decided voters, yet the fragmented field and procedural hurdles around postal and proxy votes further dampen expectations of higher engagement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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