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Politica·Kazakistan

Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito

icon for Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito
Politica·Kazakistan

Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito

Adilet 99.0%

JSDP <1%

Baytaq <1%

QHP <1%

Polymarket

$11,012 Vol.

Adilet 99.0%

JSDP <1%

Baytaq <1%

QHP <1%

Polymarket

$11,012 Vol.

icon for Adilet

Adilet

$3,558 Vol.

99%

icon for JSDP

JSDP

$1,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baytaq

Baytaq

$900 Vol.

<1%

icon for QHP

QHP

$995 Vol.

<1%

icon for Respublica

Respublica

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aq Jol

Aq Jol

$2,087 Vol.

<1%

icon for Auyl

Auyl

$831 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet's commanding position in the Kurultai party-list election stems from the June 2026 merger of the former ruling Amanat party into the newly formed Adilet, creating a unified pro-presidential force under leader Aibek Dädebai ahead of the August 23 vote for all 145 seats. This consolidation followed constitutional changes replacing the bicameral parliament with a unicameral Kurultai elected proportionally nationwide, with seven parties cleared to contest including Auyl, Respublica, Aq Jol, and others. The resulting trader consensus reflects Adilet's structural advantages in a system where the merged entity is positioned to secure a majority. Potential shifts could arise from late developments affecting turnout or alliances, though the timeline leaves limited scope before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Volume
$11,012
Data di fine
23 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.Adilet's commanding position in the Kurultai party-list election stems from the June 2026 merger of the former ruling Amanat party into the newly formed Adilet, creating a unified pro-presidential force under leader Aibek Dädebai ahead of the August 23 vote for all 145 seats. This consolidation followed constitutional changes replacing the bicameral parliament with a unicameral Kurultai elected proportionally nationwide, with seven parties cleared to contest including Auyl, Respublica, Aq Jol, and others. The resulting trader consensus reflects Adilet's structural advantages in a system where the merged entity is positioned to secure a majority. Potential shifts could arise from late developments affecting turnout or alliances, though the timeline leaves limited scope before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Volume
$11,012
Data di fine
23 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Adilet" a 99%, seguito da "JSDP" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito" ha generato $11K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 14, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito" è "Adilet" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "JSDP" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Kazakistan Kurultai: vincitore del partito" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.