BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 56.5% against UBJP at 43%, reflecting trader views on the tight contest ahead of the September 14 vote in BARMM. Recent defections of local officials and legislators from UBJP to the newer BFP, including high-profile moves in Maguindanao areas, have strengthened the latter’s position as a party aligned with national government priorities. UBJP retains its core MILF-affiliated base and earlier Comelec designation as dominant majority party, while both compete for party-list seats in this first regular parliamentary poll. Ongoing realignments, unopposed district candidacies, and the 45-day campaign period could shift momentum, with low probabilities on postponement or other parties underscoring the two-way race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBFP 56%
UBJP 43%
Elezione rinviata/annullata <1%
LBIAA <1%
$72,453 Vol.
$72,453 Vol.
14 set 2026
BFP
56%
UBJP
43%
Elezione rinviata/annullata
1%
LBIAA
1%
BAPA
<1%
BGC
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
C4P
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
DTLO
<1%
RSL
<1%
ABOT
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
MORO AKO
<1%
MUSHAWARA
<1%
PBB
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
<1%
TPWC
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
ISLPI
<1%
BFP 56%
UBJP 43%
Elezione rinviata/annullata <1%
LBIAA <1%
$72,453 Vol.
$72,453 Vol.
14 set 2026
BFP
$13,425 Vol.
56%
UBJP
$44,297 Vol.
43%
Elezione rinviata/annullata
$813 Vol.
1%
LBIAA
$860 Vol.
1%
BAPA
$728 Vol.
<1%
BGC
$766 Vol.
<1%
MAHARDIKA
$607 Vol.
<1%
C4P
$713 Vol.
<1%
RSEU
$607 Vol.
<1%
THE ROYALS
$596 Vol.
<1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$616 Vol.
<1%
ROHOSUMA
$1,069 Vol.
<1%
DTLO
$630 Vol.
<1%
RSL
$515 Vol.
<1%
ABOT
$643 Vol.
<1%
BEST PARTY
$681 Vol.
<1%
ISAMA
$634 Vol.
<1%
MORO AKO
$634 Vol.
<1%
MUSHAWARA
$673 Vol.
<1%
PBB
$568 Vol.
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$609 Vol.
<1%
TPWC
$521 Vol.
<1%
ROHOSUPA
$600 Vol.
<1%
ISLPI
$645 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 56.5% against UBJP at 43%, reflecting trader views on the tight contest ahead of the September 14 vote in BARMM. Recent defections of local officials and legislators from UBJP to the newer BFP, including high-profile moves in Maguindanao areas, have strengthened the latter’s position as a party aligned with national government priorities. UBJP retains its core MILF-affiliated base and earlier Comelec designation as dominant majority party, while both compete for party-list seats in this first regular parliamentary poll. Ongoing realignments, unopposed district candidacies, and the 45-day campaign period could shift momentum, with low probabilities on postponement or other parties underscoring the two-way race.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Volume
$72,453Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 56.5% against UBJP at 43%, reflecting trader views on the tight contest ahead of the September 14 vote in BARMM. Recent defections of local officials and legislators from UBJP to the newer BFP, including high-profile moves in Maguindanao areas, have strengthened the latter’s position as a party aligned with national government priorities. UBJP retains its core MILF-affiliated base and earlier Comelec designation as dominant majority party, while both compete for party-list seats in this first regular parliamentary poll. Ongoing realignments, unopposed district candidacies, and the 45-day campaign period could shift momentum, with low probabilities on postponement or other parties underscoring the two-way race.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$72,453Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...BFP leads the 2026 Bangsamoro Parliament election market at 56.5% against UBJP at 43%, reflecting trader views on the tight contest ahead of the September 14 vote in BARMM. Recent defections of local officials and legislators from UBJP to the newer BFP, including high-profile moves in Maguindanao areas, have strengthened the latter’s position as a party aligned with national government priorities. UBJP retains its core MILF-affiliated base and earlier Comelec designation as dominant majority party, while both compete for party-list seats in this first regular parliamentary poll. Ongoing realignments, unopposed district candidacies, and the 45-day campaign period could shift momentum, with low probabilities on postponement or other parties underscoring the two-way race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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