Spain's minority PSOE-Sumar coalition under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez holds a constitutional right to propose dissolution of the Cortes Generales to King Felipe VI at any time before the scheduled general election deadline of August 2027, yet Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out an early vote and reaffirmed commitment to completing the full legislative term. Trader sentiment reflects this stance alongside ongoing scandals and corruption probes that prompted a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution, combined with recent regional election results showing gains for the PP and Vox. Budget negotiations, regional autonomy tensions, and immigration pressures from events such as the July 2026 Ceuta crossings have not yet produced a no-confidence trigger or coalition collapse. With resolution tied to any announcement by December 31, 2026, current implied probabilities around 17% Yes price in the low likelihood of Sánchez shifting course absent a sudden parliamentary defeat or major internal rupture.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?
Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?
$191,026 Vol.
31 ago 2026
31 agosto 2026
2%
$191,026 Vol.
31 agosto 2026
$11,820 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority PSOE-Sumar coalition under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez holds a constitutional right to propose dissolution of the Cortes Generales to King Felipe VI at any time before the scheduled general election deadline of August 2027, yet Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out an early vote and reaffirmed commitment to completing the full legislative term. Trader sentiment reflects this stance alongside ongoing scandals and corruption probes that prompted a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution, combined with recent regional election results showing gains for the PP and Vox. Budget negotiations, regional autonomy tensions, and immigration pressures from events such as the July 2026 Ceuta crossings have not yet produced a no-confidence trigger or coalition collapse. With resolution tied to any announcement by December 31, 2026, current implied probabilities around 17% Yes price in the low likelihood of Sánchez shifting course absent a sudden parliamentary defeat or major internal rupture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jun 24, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$191,026Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority PSOE-Sumar coalition under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez holds a constitutional right to propose dissolution of the Cortes Generales to King Felipe VI at any time before the scheduled general election deadline of August 2027, yet Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out an early vote and reaffirmed commitment to completing the full legislative term. Trader sentiment reflects this stance alongside ongoing scandals and corruption probes that prompted a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution, combined with recent regional election results showing gains for the PP and Vox. Budget negotiations, regional autonomy tensions, and immigration pressures from events such as the July 2026 Ceuta crossings have not yet produced a no-confidence trigger or coalition collapse. With resolution tied to any announcement by December 31, 2026, current implied probabilities around 17% Yes price in the low likelihood of Sánchez shifting course absent a sudden parliamentary defeat or major internal rupture.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,026Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 24, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's minority PSOE-Sumar coalition under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez holds a constitutional right to propose dissolution of the Cortes Generales to King Felipe VI at any time before the scheduled general election deadline of August 2027, yet Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out an early vote and reaffirmed commitment to completing the full legislative term. Trader sentiment reflects this stance alongside ongoing scandals and corruption probes that prompted a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution, combined with recent regional election results showing gains for the PP and Vox. Budget negotiations, regional autonomy tensions, and immigration pressures from events such as the July 2026 Ceuta crossings have not yet produced a no-confidence trigger or coalition collapse. With resolution tied to any announcement by December 31, 2026, current implied probabilities around 17% Yes price in the low likelihood of Sánchez shifting course absent a sudden parliamentary defeat or major internal rupture.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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