Skip to main content
icon for Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?
Mondo·Affari Mondiali

Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?

icon for Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?
Mondo·Affari Mondiali

Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?

dic 31, 2025

dic 31

dic 31, 2025

dic 31

$175,459 Vol.

31 dic 2025
Polymarket

$175,459 Vol.

Polymarket

30 giugno 2026

$81,961 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces mounting pressure from corruption investigations involving party allies and family members, alongside a series of regional election losses that have strengthened the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent Andalusian and other regional votes in 2026 showed PP gains and reinforced a rightward shift, while polls indicate PP support near 32% compared with PSOE at 27%. Sánchez has repeatedly rejected early elections and committed to serving the full term through the scheduled general election no later than August 2027, citing the prerogative to dissolve parliament only under specific conditions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over budget negotiations, Junts parliamentary support, and whether scandals could force a no-confidence vote or strategic dissolution before year-end, balanced against the government's stated intent to avoid a snap contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$175,459
Data di fine
31 dic 2025
Mercato aperto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority coalition government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces mounting pressure from corruption investigations involving party allies and family members, alongside a series of regional election losses that have strengthened the opposition Popular Party (PP) and Vox. Recent Andalusian and other regional votes in 2026 showed PP gains and reinforced a rightward shift, while polls indicate PP support near 32% compared with PSOE at 27%. Sánchez has repeatedly rejected early elections and committed to serving the full term through the scheduled general election no later than August 2027, citing the prerogative to dissolve parliament only under specific conditions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over budget negotiations, Junts parliamentary support, and whether scandals could force a no-confidence vote or strategic dissolution before year-end, balanced against the government's stated intent to avoid a snap contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$175,459
Data di fine
31 dic 2025
Mercato aperto
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "30 giugno 2026" a 4%, seguito da "31 dicembre 2025" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 4¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 4% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?" ha generato $175.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 28, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?" è "30 giugno 2026" a solo 4%, con "31 dicembre 2025" vicino a 0%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Spagna elezioni anticipate convocate da...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.