Gerlando Alonge holds a 70.5% implied probability in the June 7-8 runoff against Michele Sodano at 26.5%, reflecting trader assessments of vote consolidation. In the May 24-25 first round, Sodano led narrowly with 39.1% for the unified center-left coalition including PD, M5S, and Controcorrente, while Alonge secured 34.8% backed by Fratelli d’Italia, Forza Italia, and allied lists. The remaining votes split among eliminated center-right candidates, whose supporters are expected to consolidate behind Alonge. Campaign efforts now center on turnout mobilization ahead of the runoff, with the center-right’s stronger overall list performance in the opening round providing the primary basis for current market positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGerlando Alonge
71%
Michele Sodano
27%
Gerlando Alonge
71%
Michele Sodano
27%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Agrigento as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Agrigento.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Agrigento as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Agrigento.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Gerlando Alonge holds a 70.5% implied probability in the June 7-8 runoff against Michele Sodano at 26.5%, reflecting trader assessments of vote consolidation. In the May 24-25 first round, Sodano led narrowly with 39.1% for the unified center-left coalition including PD, M5S, and Controcorrente, while Alonge secured 34.8% backed by Fratelli d’Italia, Forza Italia, and allied lists. The remaining votes split among eliminated center-right candidates, whose supporters are expected to consolidate behind Alonge. Campaign efforts now center on turnout mobilization ahead of the runoff, with the center-right’s stronger overall list performance in the opening round providing the primary basis for current market positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti