**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDarializa Avila Chevalier 100.0%
Adriano Espaillat <1%
Jaleel Amador <1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$580,132 Vol.
$580,132 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
No
Jaleel Amador
No
Darializa Avila Chevalier
Sì
Theo Chino-Tavarez
No
James Felton Keith
No
Matt Miller
No
Megan Rodriguez
No
Oscar Romero
No
Darializa Avila Chevalier 100.0%
Adriano Espaillat <1%
Jaleel Amador <1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$580,132 Vol.
$580,132 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
No
Jaleel Amador
No
Darializa Avila Chevalier
Sì
Theo Chino-Tavarez
No
James Felton Keith
No
Matt Miller
No
Megan Rodriguez
No
Oscar Romero
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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