Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th congressional district, reflecting his established record, broad name recognition, and historical advantages in a solidly Democratic seat spanning Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Darializa Avila Chevalier’s share stems from her Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, focus on housing and foreign policy issues, and an April internal poll showing potential gains when voters received positive messaging about her platform. Recent campaign finance data indicates she outpaced the incumbent in one recent quarter, while petition signature disputes among candidates have added procedural scrutiny. Traders weigh these factors against typical patterns favoring sitting members in low-turnout primaries, with limited movement in other contenders’ odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%
Oscar Romero 1.8%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,817 Vol.
$22,817 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
30%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%
Oscar Romero 1.8%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,817 Vol.
$22,817 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
30%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th congressional district, reflecting his established record, broad name recognition, and historical advantages in a solidly Democratic seat spanning Upper Manhattan and the Bronx. Darializa Avila Chevalier’s share stems from her Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, focus on housing and foreign policy issues, and an April internal poll showing potential gains when voters received positive messaging about her platform. Recent campaign finance data indicates she outpaced the incumbent in one recent quarter, while petition signature disputes among candidates have added procedural scrutiny. Traders weigh these factors against typical patterns favoring sitting members in low-turnout primaries, with limited movement in other contenders’ odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti