Skip to main content
icon for Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13

icon for Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13

Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13

Darializa Avila Chevalier 100.0%

Adriano Espaillat <1%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$580,132 Vol.

Darializa Avila Chevalier 100.0%

Adriano Espaillat <1%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$580,132 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat

$331,714 Vol.

No

Jaleel Amador

$1,523 Vol.

No

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$225,862 Vol.

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$2,357 Vol.

No

James Felton Keith

$2,365 Vol.

No

Matt Miller

$6,453 Vol.

No

Megan Rodriguez

$2,029 Vol.

No

Oscar Romero

$7,829 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$580,132
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$580,132
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Darializa Avila Chevalier" a 100%, seguito da "Adriano Espaillat" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13" ha generato $580.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13" è "Darializa Avila Chevalier" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Adriano Espaillat" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle primarie democratiche NY-13" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.