Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District due to his five-term incumbency, established party networks in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, and recent endorsements including from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around his lead. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the leading challenger backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and focused on issues such as housing affordability and foreign policy, has gained visibility through grassroots organizing and an April internal poll showing improved support after positive messaging. Other candidates remain marginal. The closely contested nature of the race, with roughly one month until voting, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout among key Democratic voting blocs or late campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%
Oscar Romero 1.8%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,817 Vol.
$22,817 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
30%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 30%
Oscar Romero 1.8%
Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%
$22,817 Vol.
$22,817 Vol.
Adriano Espaillat
71%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
30%
Oscar Romero
2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Matt Miller
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Adriano Espaillat maintains a strong position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District due to his five-term incumbency, established party networks in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, and recent endorsements including from the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC. These factors have reinforced trader consensus around his lead. Darializa Avila Chevalier, the leading challenger backed by the Democratic Socialists of America and focused on issues such as housing affordability and foreign policy, has gained visibility through grassroots organizing and an April internal poll showing improved support after positive messaging. Other candidates remain marginal. The closely contested nature of the race, with roughly one month until voting, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout among key Democratic voting blocs or late campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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