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Elezioni·Primarie

Vincitore primario democratico MI-11

icon for Vincitore primario democratico MI-11
Elezioni·Primarie

Vincitore primario democratico MI-11

Jeremy Moss 94.6%

Andy Levin 3.7%

Aisha Farooqi 2.8%

Don Ufford 2.7%

Polymarket

$19,511 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 94.6%

Andy Levin 3.7%

Aisha Farooqi 2.8%

Don Ufford 2.7%

Polymarket

$19,511 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$8,987 Vol.

95%

Andy Levin

$3,893 Vol.

4%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,892 Vol.

3%

Don Ufford

$324 Vol.

3%

Dave Woodward

$415 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,511
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the August 4, 2026 Democratic primary for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District, reflecting his established state legislative record, fundraising dominance, and early organizational advantages in the solidly Democratic Oakland County seat.** As Michigan Senate president pro tempore representing District 7, Moss brings experience passing measures on gun safety, reproductive rights, and civil rights, along with endorsements such as the Human Rights Campaign PAC. His campaign reported over $982,000 raised and roughly $572,000 cash on hand through March 2026—far ahead of rivals including Aisha Farooqi and John Paul Torres—while securing ballot access early. Other candidates, such as former Ford engineer Don Ufford, have emphasized economic and job issues but trail significantly in reported resources and visibility. The market’s 97%+ consensus on Moss aligns with these structural edges in a low-information primary environment. Realistic challenges would require major late developments, such as a significant scandal or unexpected surge in challenger turnout, though none have materialized in recent reporting. The primary occurs in roughly seven weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$19,511
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore primario democratico MI-11" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jeremy Moss" a 95%, seguito da "Andy Levin" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore primario democratico MI-11" ha generato $19.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore primario democratico MI-11", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore primario democratico MI-11" è "Jeremy Moss" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Andy Levin" a 4%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore primario democratico MI-11" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.