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Elezioni·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Dale Holness 17%

Mark Douglas 5.2%

Maisha Williams 5.2%

Luther Campbell 5.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Dale Holness 17%

Mark Douglas 5.2%

Maisha Williams 5.2%

Luther Campbell 5.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Dale Holness

$499 Vol.

36%

Mark Douglas

$259 Vol.

5%

Maisha Williams

$284 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$249 Vol.

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$770 Vol.

2%

Rudy Moise

$480 Vol.

1%

Elijah Manley

$1,830 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-20 Democratic primary tilts toward former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness at 36% implied probability, edging community organizer Elijah Manley at 28.5%, following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a House Ethics Committee probe and pending criminal charges—though she remains on the ballot at low odds. Holness benefits from established name recognition after his razor-thin 2021 special election primary loss to Cherfilus-McCormick and support among Broward Black Democratic leaders emphasizing seasoned leadership in this majority-Black district spanning Broward and Palm Beach counties. Manley's edge in February and March polls reflects progressive momentum and endorsements from groups like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The race stays tight amid a fragmented field, including rapper Luther Campbell's late April entry; new polls, major endorsements, or fundraising reports ahead of the August 18 primary could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,371
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-20 Democratic primary tilts toward former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness at 36% implied probability, edging community organizer Elijah Manley at 28.5%, following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a House Ethics Committee probe and pending criminal charges—though she remains on the ballot at low odds. Holness benefits from established name recognition after his razor-thin 2021 special election primary loss to Cherfilus-McCormick and support among Broward Black Democratic leaders emphasizing seasoned leadership in this majority-Black district spanning Broward and Palm Beach counties. Manley's edge in February and March polls reflects progressive momentum and endorsements from groups like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The race stays tight amid a fragmented field, including rapper Luther Campbell's late April entry; new polls, major endorsements, or fundraising reports ahead of the August 18 primary could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,371
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Dale Holness" a 36%, seguito da "Elijah Manley" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 36¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 22, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Dale Holness" a 36%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 36% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Elijah Manley" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.