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Elezioni·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 8.6%

Maisha Williams 5.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 44%

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 8.6%

Maisha Williams 5.6%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$148 Vol.

44%

Elijah Manley

$2,185 Vol.

32%

Rudy Moise

$846 Vol.

9%

Maisha Williams

$299 Vol.

6%

Dale Holness

$1,645 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$264 Vol.

4%

Mark Douglas

$274 Vol.

2%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent redistricting placed Florida's 20th congressional district, a historically majority-Black seat, into play for Debbie Wasserman Schultz after her prior district shifted. Black candidates including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick held a closed-door meeting in early June to discuss consolidating support behind one challenger ahead of the August 18 primary, aiming to avoid splitting votes against the longtime congresswoman. Trader consensus places Wasserman Schultz in the lead at 46 percent, with Manley at 31.5 percent, reflecting her name recognition and fundraising edge alongside strong local emphasis on electing a Black representative in this solidly Democratic district. Remaining candidates trail further, with limited movement reported in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,447
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent redistricting placed Florida's 20th congressional district, a historically majority-Black seat, into play for Debbie Wasserman Schultz after her prior district shifted. Black candidates including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick held a closed-door meeting in early June to discuss consolidating support behind one challenger ahead of the August 18 primary, aiming to avoid splitting votes against the longtime congresswoman. Trader consensus places Wasserman Schultz in the lead at 46 percent, with Manley at 31.5 percent, reflecting her name recognition and fundraising edge alongside strong local emphasis on electing a Black representative in this solidly Democratic district. Remaining candidates trail further, with limited movement reported in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,447
Data di fine
18 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" a 45%, seguito da "Elijah Manley" a 32%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 45¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Apr 22, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" a 45%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 45% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Elijah Manley" a 32%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.