Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the Republican primary for Florida’s open 19th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid, owing to her early fundraising edge, endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, and prior Trump administration ties that resonate with the district’s conservative voters. The August 18 primary features a crowded field of transplants and local figures, including Jim Schwartzel’s substantial local fundraising and name recognition, former Rep. Madison Cawthorn’s comeback effort, and Jim Oberweis’s business background, though none have closed the gap on Lauf in trader assessments. With the heavily Republican district all but assured to elect the nominee in November, recent positioning centers on campaign resources and national conservative support rather than polling shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCatalina Lauf 51%
Jim Schwartzel 18.1%
Jim Oberweis 12.0%
Madison Cawthorn 9.6%
$24,270 Vol.
$24,270 Vol.
Catalina Lauf
51%
Jim Schwartzel
18%
Jim Oberweis
8%
Madison Cawthorn
10%
Spencer Roach
2%
Bob Rommel
2%
Catalina Lauf 51%
Jim Schwartzel 18.1%
Jim Oberweis 12.0%
Madison Cawthorn 9.6%
$24,270 Vol.
$24,270 Vol.
Catalina Lauf
51%
Jim Schwartzel
18%
Jim Oberweis
8%
Madison Cawthorn
10%
Spencer Roach
2%
Bob Rommel
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the Republican primary for Florida’s open 19th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid, owing to her early fundraising edge, endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, and prior Trump administration ties that resonate with the district’s conservative voters. The August 18 primary features a crowded field of transplants and local figures, including Jim Schwartzel’s substantial local fundraising and name recognition, former Rep. Madison Cawthorn’s comeback effort, and Jim Oberweis’s business background, though none have closed the gap on Lauf in trader assessments. With the heavily Republican district all but assured to elect the nominee in November, recent positioning centers on campaign resources and national conservative support rather than polling shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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