Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote show Likud and Yashar trading narrow leads or tying near 20-23 seats each, with neither Netanyahu's nor Eisenkot's bloc consistently reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority. Fluctuations stem from lingering divisions over October 7 accountability, security performance, and coalition math involving threshold parties such as Otzma Yehudit, Shas, and the Joint List. Undecided voters, surplus-vote agreements due mid-October, and bloc realignments among center-right lists like Together keep the contest fluid. Trader consensus reflects this deadlock, where small shifts in turnout or last-minute alliances could determine which party emerges largest or which camp assembles a government.