The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement has kept trader odds tight in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, an R+5 seat encompassing Missoula, Bozeman, and tribal lands. With primaries scheduled for June 2, both parties field competitive fields, including Democrat Ryan Busse, who previously carried key counties and holds strong name recognition. Republicans benefit from the district’s partisan lean and Trump’s endorsement of primary frontrunner Aaron Flint, while Democrats see pickup potential in suburban and reservation areas. Upcoming primary results, general-election polling trends, fundraising gaps, and national midterm dynamics could widen the margin before November resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,011 Обс.
55%
Democratic Party
$392 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement has kept trader odds tight in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, an R+5 seat encompassing Missoula, Bozeman, and tribal lands. With primaries scheduled for June 2, both parties field competitive fields, including Democrat Ryan Busse, who previously carried key counties and holds strong name recognition. Republicans benefit from the district’s partisan lean and Trump’s endorsement of primary frontrunner Aaron Flint, while Democrats see pickup potential in suburban and reservation areas. Upcoming primary results, general-election polling trends, fundraising gaps, and national midterm dynamics could widen the margin before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,402Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement has kept trader odds tight in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, an R+5 seat encompassing Missoula, Bozeman, and tribal lands. With primaries scheduled for June 2, both parties field competitive fields, including Democrat Ryan Busse, who previously carried key counties and holds strong name recognition. Republicans benefit from the district’s partisan lean and Trump’s endorsement of primary frontrunner Aaron Flint, while Democrats see pickup potential in suburban and reservation areas. Upcoming primary results, general-election polling trends, fundraising gaps, and national midterm dynamics could widen the margin before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,402Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke’s retirement has kept trader odds tight in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, an R+5 seat encompassing Missoula, Bozeman, and tribal lands. With primaries scheduled for June 2, both parties field competitive fields, including Democrat Ryan Busse, who previously carried key counties and holds strong name recognition. Republicans benefit from the district’s partisan lean and Trump’s endorsement of primary frontrunner Aaron Flint, while Democrats see pickup potential in suburban and reservation areas. Upcoming primary results, general-election polling trends, fundraising gaps, and national midterm dynamics could widen the margin before November resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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