Wesley Bell holds a commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent who prevailed in the August 2026 primary against former Representative Cori Bush. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Bell's established fundraising and organizational support, underpins trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Berry, the Republican nominee and a perennial candidate, faces structural disadvantages in a constituency with a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries concluded, leaving few catalysts that would realistically shift the balance absent an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$36,834 Vol.
$36,834 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Wesley Bell (D)
98%
Paul Berry (R)
1%
$36,834 Vol.
$36,834 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Wesley Bell (D)
$22,863 Vol.
98%
Paul Berry (R)
$13,971 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent who prevailed in the August 2026 primary against former Representative Cori Bush. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Bell's established fundraising and organizational support, underpins trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Berry, the Republican nominee and a perennial candidate, faces structural disadvantages in a constituency with a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries concluded, leaving few catalysts that would realistically shift the balance absent an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,834End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent who prevailed in the August 2026 primary against former Representative Cori Bush. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Bell's established fundraising and organizational support, underpins trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Berry, the Republican nominee and a perennial candidate, faces structural disadvantages in a constituency with a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries concluded, leaving few catalysts that would realistically shift the balance absent an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,834End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell holds a commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race as the Democratic incumbent who prevailed in the August 2026 primary against former Representative Cori Bush. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, combined with Bell's established fundraising and organizational support, underpins trader consensus on the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Paul Berry, the Republican nominee and a perennial candidate, faces structural disadvantages in a constituency with a strong Democratic partisan voting index. Limited developments have occurred since the primaries concluded, leaving few catalysts that would realistically shift the balance absent an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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