Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, maintains a consistent Democratic advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent election results. Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Cori Bush by roughly 59% to 37%, confirming his position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Paul Berry faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 70% margins. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with limited volatility expected absent major candidate-specific developments such as legal issues or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence local turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$35,092 Vol.
$35,092 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$35,092 Vol.
$35,092 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,487 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$13,604 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, maintains a consistent Democratic advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent election results. Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Cori Bush by roughly 59% to 37%, confirming his position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Paul Berry faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 70% margins. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with limited volatility expected absent major candidate-specific developments such as legal issues or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence local turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$35,092End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, maintains a consistent Democratic advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent election results. Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Cori Bush by roughly 59% to 37%, confirming his position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Paul Berry faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 70% margins. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with limited volatility expected absent major candidate-specific developments such as legal issues or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence local turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,092End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st congressional district, encompassing St. Louis and northern St. Louis County, maintains a consistent Democratic advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and recent election results. Incumbent Democrat Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Cori Bush by roughly 59% to 37%, confirming his position ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Paul Berry faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have routinely exceeded 70% margins. Trader pricing reflects this baseline, with limited volatility expected absent major candidate-specific developments such as legal issues or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics that could influence local turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions