Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$18,687 Обс.
$18,687 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$18,687 Обс.
$18,687 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,115 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,571 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,687Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,687Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання