Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2001 with consistent strong margins, including 67% in 2024. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited visibility or fundraising, offering no evident path to competitiveness in the general election on November 3. An unexpected retirement, major scandal, or broad national political shift could theoretically alter dynamics, though such developments have been absent in recent cycles and historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,370 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$4,742 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2001 with consistent strong margins, including 67% in 2024. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited visibility or fundraising, offering no evident path to competitiveness in the general election on November 3. An unexpected retirement, major scandal, or broad national political shift could theoretically alter dynamics, though such developments have been absent in recent cycles and historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,112Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2001 with consistent strong margins, including 67% in 2024. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited visibility or fundraising, offering no evident path to competitiveness in the general election on November 3. An unexpected retirement, major scandal, or broad national political shift could theoretically alter dynamics, though such developments have been absent in recent cycles and historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,112Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 11, 2026 primaries in Minnesota’s 4th congressional district, a seat she has held since 2001 with consistent strong margins, including 67% in 2024. The district’s D+18 partisan voting index and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic underpin trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited visibility or fundraising, offering no evident path to competitiveness in the general election on November 3. An unexpected retirement, major scandal, or broad national political shift could theoretically alter dynamics, though such developments have been absent in recent cycles and historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited volatility.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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