Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's bid for reelection in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing St. Paul and surrounding urban areas, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party. The longtime representative, dean of the Minnesota delegation and senior appropriator, has secured landslide victories since 2001, facing only a low-profile Democratic primary challenger, Aswar Rahman, ahead of the August 11 primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged in filings, underscoring the district's entrenched partisan lean. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 further bolsters McCollum's position amid a quiet cycle. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect slim upset paths, such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,080 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$1,918 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's bid for reelection in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing St. Paul and surrounding urban areas, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party. The longtime representative, dean of the Minnesota delegation and senior appropriator, has secured landslide victories since 2001, facing only a low-profile Democratic primary challenger, Aswar Rahman, ahead of the August 11 primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged in filings, underscoring the district's entrenched partisan lean. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 further bolsters McCollum's position amid a quiet cycle. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect slim upset paths, such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,997Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's bid for reelection in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing St. Paul and surrounding urban areas, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party. The longtime representative, dean of the Minnesota delegation and senior appropriator, has secured landslide victories since 2001, facing only a low-profile Democratic primary challenger, Aswar Rahman, ahead of the August 11 primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged in filings, underscoring the district's entrenched partisan lean. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 further bolsters McCollum's position amid a quiet cycle. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect slim upset paths, such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,997Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Betty McCollum's bid for reelection in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, a Democratic stronghold encompassing St. Paul and surrounding urban areas, anchors trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party. The longtime representative, dean of the Minnesota delegation and senior appropriator, has secured landslide victories since 2001, facing only a low-profile Democratic primary challenger, Aswar Rahman, ahead of the August 11 primary. No prominent Republican contender has emerged in filings, underscoring the district's entrenched partisan lean. Recent Sierra Club endorsement on April 8 further bolsters McCollum's position amid a quiet cycle. GOP odds at 8.5% reflect slim upset paths, such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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