Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th District by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Mark Conway and facing no significant opposition thereafter. The district, anchored in Baltimore, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities, as shown by Mfume’s 80%+ general election win in 2024 against the same Republican nominee, Scott Collier. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan lean, incumbency, and fundraising patterns. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the race. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting Mfume, or an extreme national partisan swing that overrides the district’s baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
96%
Scott Collier (R)
3%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
$15,273 Vol.
96%
Scott Collier (R)
$9,125 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th District by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Mark Conway and facing no significant opposition thereafter. The district, anchored in Baltimore, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities, as shown by Mfume’s 80%+ general election win in 2024 against the same Republican nominee, Scott Collier. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan lean, incumbency, and fundraising patterns. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the race. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting Mfume, or an extreme national partisan swing that overrides the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th District by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Mark Conway and facing no significant opposition thereafter. The district, anchored in Baltimore, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities, as shown by Mfume’s 80%+ general election win in 2024 against the same Republican nominee, Scott Collier. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan lean, incumbency, and fundraising patterns. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the race. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting Mfume, or an extreme national partisan swing that overrides the district’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th District by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Mark Conway and facing no significant opposition thereafter. The district, anchored in Baltimore, has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities, as shown by Mfume’s 80%+ general election win in 2024 against the same Republican nominee, Scott Collier. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on partisan lean, incumbency, and fundraising patterns. Trader consensus at 96% reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of shifting the race. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting Mfume, or an extreme national partisan swing that overrides the district’s baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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