Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th Congressional District primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against his main challenger, reflecting strong support in the heavily Democratic district centered on Baltimore. The seat has delivered consistent large margins for Democrats in recent cycles, including an 80 percent-plus victory for Mfume in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus around 96 percent probability for Mfume reflects the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift that boosts Republican participation before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
96%
Scott Collier (R)
3%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Kweisi Mfume (D)
$15,273 Vol.
96%
Scott Collier (R)
$9,125 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th Congressional District primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against his main challenger, reflecting strong support in the heavily Democratic district centered on Baltimore. The seat has delivered consistent large margins for Democrats in recent cycles, including an 80 percent-plus victory for Mfume in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus around 96 percent probability for Mfume reflects the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift that boosts Republican participation before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th Congressional District primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against his main challenger, reflecting strong support in the heavily Democratic district centered on Baltimore. The seat has delivered consistent large margins for Democrats in recent cycles, including an 80 percent-plus victory for Mfume in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus around 96 percent probability for Mfume reflects the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift that boosts Republican participation before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 7th Congressional District primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against his main challenger, reflecting strong support in the heavily Democratic district centered on Baltimore. The seat has delivered consistent large margins for Democrats in recent cycles, including an 80 percent-plus victory for Mfume in 2024, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced unopposed in his primary. Trader consensus around 96 percent probability for Mfume reflects the district’s partisan composition, historical turnout patterns, and limited crossover voting. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift that boosts Republican participation before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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