Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the incumbent Kweisi Mfume won re-election with over 80 percent in 2024. With the June 23 primary just days away, Mfume faces only token opposition and is widely expected to secure the nomination before facing a Republican nominee in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican candidates in the district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical margins and the absence of any recent polling, fundraising shifts, or candidate developments that would narrow the gap. The Republican Party’s low 4.2 percent price reflects the structural barriers in a district that has not elected a Republican since its current configuration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,584 Vol.
$15,584 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
5%
$15,584 Vol.
$15,584 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,212 Vol.
88%
共和党
$6,372 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the incumbent Kweisi Mfume won re-election with over 80 percent in 2024. With the June 23 primary just days away, Mfume faces only token opposition and is widely expected to secure the nomination before facing a Republican nominee in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican candidates in the district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical margins and the absence of any recent polling, fundraising shifts, or candidate developments that would narrow the gap. The Republican Party’s low 4.2 percent price reflects the structural barriers in a district that has not elected a Republican since its current configuration.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,584終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the incumbent Kweisi Mfume won re-election with over 80 percent in 2024. With the June 23 primary just days away, Mfume faces only token opposition and is widely expected to secure the nomination before facing a Republican nominee in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican candidates in the district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical margins and the absence of any recent polling, fundraising shifts, or candidate developments that would narrow the gap. The Republican Party’s low 4.2 percent price reflects the structural barriers in a district that has not elected a Republican since its current configuration.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,584終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, where the incumbent Kweisi Mfume won re-election with over 80 percent in 2024. With the June 23 primary just days away, Mfume faces only token opposition and is widely expected to secure the nomination before facing a Republican nominee in the November general election. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited crossover appeal for Republican candidates in the district. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical margins and the absence of any recent polling, fundraising shifts, or candidate developments that would narrow the gap. The Republican Party’s low 4.2 percent price reflects the structural barriers in a district that has not elected a Republican since its current configuration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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