Eugene Vindman, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index. His substantial fundraising lead exceeding $5 million supports early positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries. The state Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment, preserving the existing map and limiting opportunities for major shifts. Republican primary contenders, including Doug Ollivant, cite mobilization from the redistricting fight but confront the district's modest Democratic tilt and Vindman's established name recognition in a midterm environment. These factors align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for Republican gains if national conditions or turnout patterns shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
49%
民主党
56%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$546 Vol.
49%
民主党
$272 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eugene Vindman, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index. His substantial fundraising lead exceeding $5 million supports early positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries. The state Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment, preserving the existing map and limiting opportunities for major shifts. Republican primary contenders, including Doug Ollivant, cite mobilization from the redistricting fight but confront the district's modest Democratic tilt and Vindman's established name recognition in a midterm environment. These factors align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for Republican gains if national conditions or turnout patterns shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$818終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eugene Vindman, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index. His substantial fundraising lead exceeding $5 million supports early positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries. The state Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment, preserving the existing map and limiting opportunities for major shifts. Republican primary contenders, including Doug Ollivant, cite mobilization from the redistricting fight but confront the district's modest Democratic tilt and Vindman's established name recognition in a midterm environment. These factors align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for Republican gains if national conditions or turnout patterns shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$818終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eugene Vindman, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th District, rated Likely Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball with a D+2 Partisan Voter Index. His substantial fundraising lead exceeding $5 million supports early positioning ahead of the August 4 primaries. The state Supreme Court's May 2026 ruling struck down a Democratic-backed redistricting amendment, preserving the existing map and limiting opportunities for major shifts. Republican primary contenders, including Doug Ollivant, cite mobilization from the redistricting fight but confront the district's modest Democratic tilt and Vindman's established name recognition in a midterm environment. These factors align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for Republican gains if national conditions or turnout patterns shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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