Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Ben Cline benefits from established name recognition, prior reelection with 63 percent of the vote, and institutional support within the party, including his recent endorsement to lead the Republican Study Committee. Democratic challenger Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has outraised Cline through small-dollar contributions and highlighted local issues like health care and agriculture, yet the district's partisan voter index of R+12 and lack of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most models. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Cline aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVA-06 House Election Winner
VA-06 House Election Winner
$117,840 Vol.
$117,840 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ben Cline (R)
93%
Beth Macy (D)
7%
$117,840 Vol.
$117,840 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ben Cline (R)
$44,449 Vol.
93%
Beth Macy (D)
$73,391 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Ben Cline benefits from established name recognition, prior reelection with 63 percent of the vote, and institutional support within the party, including his recent endorsement to lead the Republican Study Committee. Democratic challenger Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has outraised Cline through small-dollar contributions and highlighted local issues like health care and agriculture, yet the district's partisan voter index of R+12 and lack of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most models. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Cline aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$117,840End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Ben Cline benefits from established name recognition, prior reelection with 63 percent of the vote, and institutional support within the party, including his recent endorsement to lead the Republican Study Committee. Democratic challenger Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has outraised Cline through small-dollar contributions and highlighted local issues like health care and agriculture, yet the district's partisan voter index of R+12 and lack of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most models. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Cline aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$117,840End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 14.5-point margin there in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Ben Cline benefits from established name recognition, prior reelection with 63 percent of the vote, and institutional support within the party, including his recent endorsement to lead the Republican Study Committee. Democratic challenger Beth Macy, an author and journalist, has outraised Cline through small-dollar contributions and highlighted local issues like health care and agriculture, yet the district's partisan voter index of R+12 and lack of competitive polling keep the race non-competitive in most models. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for Cline aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate-specific events could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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