The Democratic incumbent Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the current trader consensus. The district’s D+7 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stansbury’s re-election margin in 2024 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the wide gap. Limited Republican fundraising and a low-profile primary field further reinforce the structural advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest such shifts remain unlikely without major new developments before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$26,204 ปริมาณ
$26,204 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$26,204 ปริมาณ
$26,204 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,704 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$10,499 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the current trader consensus. The district’s D+7 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stansbury’s re-election margin in 2024 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the wide gap. Limited Republican fundraising and a low-profile primary field further reinforce the structural advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest such shifts remain unlikely without major new developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,204วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic incumbent Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the current trader consensus. The district’s D+7 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stansbury’s re-election margin in 2024 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the wide gap. Limited Republican fundraising and a low-profile primary field further reinforce the structural advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest such shifts remain unlikely without major new developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,204วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic incumbent Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the current trader consensus. The district’s D+7 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stansbury’s re-election margin in 2024 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the wide gap. Limited Republican fundraising and a low-profile primary field further reinforce the structural advantage. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest such shifts remain unlikely without major new developments before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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