Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in June after winning a crowded primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer, bolstered by Hoyer's endorsement, support from Governor Wes Moore, and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency groups. Maryland's 5th District remains a solidly Democratic constituency, where the party has held the seat for decades and recent presidential results showed double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the general election outlook. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could still shift probabilities before November voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$18,216 Vol.
$18,216 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adrian Boafo (D)
95%
Chris Chaffee (R)
3%
$18,216 Vol.
$18,216 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adrian Boafo (D)
$8,754 Vol.
95%
Chris Chaffee (R)
$9,462 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in June after winning a crowded primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer, bolstered by Hoyer's endorsement, support from Governor Wes Moore, and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency groups. Maryland's 5th District remains a solidly Democratic constituency, where the party has held the seat for decades and recent presidential results showed double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the general election outlook. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could still shift probabilities before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$18,216End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in June after winning a crowded primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer, bolstered by Hoyer's endorsement, support from Governor Wes Moore, and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency groups. Maryland's 5th District remains a solidly Democratic constituency, where the party has held the seat for decades and recent presidential results showed double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the general election outlook. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could still shift probabilities before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,216End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adrian Boafo secured the Democratic nomination in June after winning a crowded primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Representative Steny Hoyer, bolstered by Hoyer's endorsement, support from Governor Wes Moore, and substantial outside spending from pro-Israel and cryptocurrency groups. Maryland's 5th District remains a solidly Democratic constituency, where the party has held the seat for decades and recent presidential results showed double-digit margins favoring Democratic candidates. Chris Chaffee, the Republican nominee, faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's partisan composition and the absence of major developments since the primary that would alter the general election outlook. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout surge could still shift probabilities before November voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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