Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a D+17 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins that underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the open seat Solid Democratic. A May 2026 withdrawal by state Delegate Nicole Williams further consolidated the Democratic field without altering the underlying electoral math. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district that has not elected a GOP representative in decades. Scenarios that could shift the current 94 percent implied probability remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as late scandals or an unusually strong national Republican wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$15,921 KL.
$15,921 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$15,921 KL.
$15,921 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,513 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$7,408 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a D+17 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins that underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the open seat Solid Democratic. A May 2026 withdrawal by state Delegate Nicole Williams further consolidated the Democratic field without altering the underlying electoral math. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district that has not elected a GOP representative in decades. Scenarios that could shift the current 94 percent implied probability remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as late scandals or an unusually strong national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,921Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a D+17 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins that underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the open seat Solid Democratic. A May 2026 withdrawal by state Delegate Nicole Williams further consolidated the Democratic field without altering the underlying electoral math. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district that has not elected a GOP representative in decades. Scenarios that could shift the current 94 percent implied probability remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as late scandals or an unusually strong national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,921Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district carries a D+17 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results, reflecting consistent double-digit Democratic margins that underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s January 2026 retirement opened a crowded Democratic primary set for June 23, yet nonpartisan forecasters continue to rate the open seat Solid Democratic. A May 2026 withdrawal by state Delegate Nicole Williams further consolidated the Democratic field without altering the underlying electoral math. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a district that has not elected a GOP representative in decades. Scenarios that could shift the current 94 percent implied probability remain limited to major unforeseen developments such as late scandals or an unusually strong national Republican wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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