Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+14 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Republican-leaning district. Smith’s four-decade tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from local GOP organizations and President Trump have reinforced trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Democrats face a June 2 primary between John Blake and Rachel Peace in a district that delivered Smith a 35-point margin in 2024. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong national Democratic wave or a major shift in voter registration patterns before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$401 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+14 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Republican-leaning district. Smith’s four-decade tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from local GOP organizations and President Trump have reinforced trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Democrats face a June 2 primary between John Blake and Rachel Peace in a district that delivered Smith a 35-point margin in 2024. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong national Democratic wave or a major shift in voter registration patterns before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$401종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+14 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Republican-leaning district. Smith’s four-decade tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from local GOP organizations and President Trump have reinforced trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Democrats face a June 2 primary between John Blake and Rachel Peace in a district that delivered Smith a 35-point margin in 2024. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong national Democratic wave or a major shift in voter registration patterns before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$401종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Republican incumbent Chris Smith seeks reelection in New Jersey’s 4th congressional district, a seat rated R+14 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and the state’s most Republican-leaning district. Smith’s four-decade tenure, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from local GOP organizations and President Trump have reinforced trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 90.5 percent. Democrats face a June 2 primary between John Blake and Rachel Peace in a district that delivered Smith a 35-point margin in 2024. A realistic challenge would require an unusually strong national Democratic wave or a major shift in voter registration patterns before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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