Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a strong position in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the area’s consistent Republican tilt in presidential and gubernatorial voting plus his established record of winning reelection by double-digit margins. Van Drew, who switched parties in 2019 and has aligned closely with President Trump, secured his party’s nomination unopposed in the June primary while advancing legislation on infrastructure, fraud prevention, and voter-roll oversight. Democrat Zack Mullock, Cape May mayor and small-business owner, won a four-candidate primary in June but faces an uphill path in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters, with Van Drew holding a clear fundraising edge. No new public polling has emerged since earlier surveys that hinted at limited vulnerability only under unusually favorable conditions for Democrats, leaving trader consensus anchored on structural and incumbency factors rather than recent campaign shifts.
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