Jeff Van Drew's incumbency in the Republican-leaning New Jersey 2nd district, which supported Donald Trump by double digits in recent presidential contests and delivered Van Drew comfortable margins in prior cycles, anchors the 81% trader consensus on his reelection. The June 2 primary left Van Drew unopposed on the Republican ballot while Democrat Zack Mullock emerged from a four-way contest as nominee with under 40% of the vote. Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Van Drew holds a substantial fundraising edge approaching $1.9 million versus Mullock's roughly $463,000, with recent union endorsements reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election that also features an independent candidate.