California's 38th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with state party backing, are contesting the June 2, 2026, top-two primary against a single Republican, positioning the party to advance a nominee for the November general election. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$58,541 ปริมาณ
$58,541 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$58,541 ปริมาณ
$58,541 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,182 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$29,359 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with state party backing, are contesting the June 2, 2026, top-two primary against a single Republican, positioning the party to advance a nominee for the November general election. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,541วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with state party backing, are contesting the June 2, 2026, top-two primary against a single Republican, positioning the party to advance a nominee for the November general election. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,541วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in independent race ratings labeling it Solid Democratic and a partisan voting index favoring the party by double digits. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis with state party backing, are contesting the June 2, 2026, top-two primary against a single Republican, positioning the party to advance a nominee for the November general election. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins above 20 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Republican turnout surge or unforeseen primary dynamics producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, though such shifts remain low-probability given the district's established voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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