Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent since 2012, holds a commanding position in California's 39th district due to its D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary results, where Takano secured 61% against Republican Steve Manos's 39%, reinforced this edge ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in Riverside County areas. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues that alter the general election dynamic.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$39,304 거래량
$39,304 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$39,304 거래량
$39,304 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$26,643 거래량
93%
공화당
$12,660 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent since 2012, holds a commanding position in California's 39th district due to its D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary results, where Takano secured 61% against Republican Steve Manos's 39%, reinforced this edge ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in Riverside County areas. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues that alter the general election dynamic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$39,304종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent since 2012, holds a commanding position in California's 39th district due to its D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary results, where Takano secured 61% against Republican Steve Manos's 39%, reinforced this edge ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in Riverside County areas. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues that alter the general election dynamic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$39,304종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Takano, the Democratic incumbent since 2012, holds a commanding position in California's 39th district due to its D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. The June 2 primary results, where Takano secured 61% against Republican Steve Manos's 39%, reinforced this edge ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in Riverside County areas. Trader consensus at 93% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Republican environment, late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific issues that alter the general election dynamic.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문