Washington’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results that underpin trader consensus for a Democratic victory at 94.5%. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces only token opposition in the August 4 top-two primary before the November 3 general election, with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited recent developments, including candidate filings, have not altered this baseline. A Republican win would require an unprecedented national wave or major unforeseen disruption to the Democratic nominee, both of which remain low-probability events given the district’s structural makeup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
95%
共和党
6%
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results that underpin trader consensus for a Democratic victory at 94.5%. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces only token opposition in the August 4 top-two primary before the November 3 general election, with nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Limited recent developments, including candidate filings, have not altered this baseline. A Republican win would require an unprecedented national wave or major unforeseen disruption to the Democratic nominee, both of which remain low-probability events given the district’s structural makeup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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