Democratic Rep. Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker in California’s 3rd congressional district, setting up a November general election in a seat redrawn after the last cycle to favor Democrats by roughly 10 points in the presidential vote. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan lean, Bera’s established record, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$26,389 Vol.
$26,389 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
6%
$26,389 Vol.
$26,389 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,202 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$12,187 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker in California’s 3rd congressional district, setting up a November general election in a seat redrawn after the last cycle to favor Democrats by roughly 10 points in the presidential vote. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan lean, Bera’s established record, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,389End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker in California’s 3rd congressional district, setting up a November general election in a seat redrawn after the last cycle to favor Democrats by roughly 10 points in the presidential vote. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan lean, Bera’s established record, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,389End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Ami Bera advanced from the June 2 primary alongside Republican Robb Tucker in California’s 3rd congressional district, setting up a November general election in a seat redrawn after the last cycle to favor Democrats by roughly 10 points in the presidential vote. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan lean, Bera’s established record, and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic win aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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