California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent results exceeding 65 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon, who assumed the seat in 2025 after winning the prior general election, faces minimal intra-party opposition in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on voter registration advantages in the East Bay region and historical turnout patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or a significant unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-12 House Election Winner
CA-12 House Election Winner
$34,050 KL.
$34,050 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$34,050 KL.
$34,050 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,437 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$13,612 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent results exceeding 65 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon, who assumed the seat in 2025 after winning the prior general election, faces minimal intra-party opposition in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on voter registration advantages in the East Bay region and historical turnout patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or a significant unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$34,050Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent results exceeding 65 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon, who assumed the seat in 2025 after winning the prior general election, faces minimal intra-party opposition in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on voter registration advantages in the East Bay region and historical turnout patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or a significant unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,050Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 12th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the state, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent results exceeding 65 percent for the Democratic nominee in recent cycles. Incumbent Lateefah Simon, who assumed the seat in 2025 after winning the prior general election, faces minimal intra-party opposition in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican entrant. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic based on voter registration advantages in the East Bay region and historical turnout patterns. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or a significant unforeseen development such as a major scandal or national political realignment before the November 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp