Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62.5% in the NY-13 Democratic primary due to his strong fundraising edge—over $1.1 million cash on hand versus challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $118,000 as of early March reports—and endorsements from unions like District Council 37. Avila Chevalier holds 31% implied probability, fueled by progressive backing from NYC-DSA, Justice Democrats, and Sunrise Movement NYC's April 16 endorsement, tapping renter-heavy demographics in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx where Mayor Zohran Mamdani won decisively. No public polls exist, but Espaillat's establishment support and incumbency advantage in this safe Democratic district sustain his edge ahead of the June 23 primary, though high progressive turnout could narrow the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Adriano Espaillat 62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero 4.1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.3%
$13,022 KL.
$13,022 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
James Felton Keith
1%
Megan Rodriguez
1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero 4.1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.3%
$13,022 KL.
$13,022 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
James Felton Keith
1%
Megan Rodriguez
1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62.5% in the NY-13 Democratic primary due to his strong fundraising edge—over $1.1 million cash on hand versus challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $118,000 as of early March reports—and endorsements from unions like District Council 37. Avila Chevalier holds 31% implied probability, fueled by progressive backing from NYC-DSA, Justice Democrats, and Sunrise Movement NYC's April 16 endorsement, tapping renter-heavy demographics in Upper Manhattan and the Bronx where Mayor Zohran Mamdani won decisively. No public polls exist, but Espaillat's establishment support and incumbency advantage in this safe Democratic district sustain his edge ahead of the June 23 primary, though high progressive turnout could narrow the gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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