Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote in the open seat race that followed the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The suburban Atlanta district has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Clark’s primary fundraising exceeded $1.6 million while Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez reported no campaign receipts. These structural and campaign factors underpin trader consensus around a 98 percent probability for Clark. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though the district’s partisan baseline makes such shifts improbable before November 3.
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