Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District in the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote after incumbent David Scott’s death opened the race. The suburban Atlanta district has consistently delivered Democratic margins above 40 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Clark, a state representative and microbiologist, outraised rivals and consolidated party support, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, traders assign Clark a 96.9 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s structural partisan advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-13 House Election Winner
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
Jasmine Clark (D)
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
3%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
Jasmine Clark (D)
97%
Jonathan Chavez (R)
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2f5e3684c...Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District in the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote after incumbent David Scott’s death opened the race. The suburban Atlanta district has consistently delivered Democratic margins above 40 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Clark, a state representative and microbiologist, outraised rivals and consolidated party support, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, traders assign Clark a 96.9 percent implied probability, reflecting the district’s structural partisan advantage and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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