Jerome Powell predictions & odds
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polymarkets
Jerome Powell
PoliticsWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$123k Vol.
$184k Liq.
Ends in 10 months
31%
3.0%
$123k Vol.
$184k Liq.
Ends in 10 months

Jerome Powell
PoliticsWill Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$1.3k Vol.
$1.9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
12%
$1.3k Vol.
$1.9k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

Jerome Powell
PoliticsHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$4.8k Vol.
$9.0k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
47%
1
$4.8k Vol.
$9.0k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

Jerome Powell
FinanceHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$65.9k Vol.
$23.3k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
71%
4.4%
$65.9k Vol.
$23.3k Liq.
Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell
PoliticsMarch Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?
$6.6k Vol.
$5.5k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
4%
$6.6k Vol.
$5.5k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
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