Fed decision in March?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in March?

86%

No change

$72m Vol.

$11m today

$3m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$414m Vol.

$10m today

$57m Liq.

1,377

Ends in 11 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

27%

3 (75 bps)

$4m Vol.

$133k today

$818k Liq.

35

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in April?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in April?

72%

No change

$1m Vol.

$378k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

73%

June Meeting

$751k Vol.

$76.2k Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

7%

May 14

$889k Vol.

$103k Liq.

31

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in June?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

55%

25 bps decrease

$165k Vol.

$285k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

37%

4.4%

$79.5k Vol.

$24.6k Liq.

7

Ends in about 2 months

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

Jerome Powell

Politics

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

8%

$14.1k Vol.

$12.2k Liq.

Ends in 21 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

29%

3.0%

$132k Vol.

$172k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Jerome Powell

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

22%

$70.5k Vol.

$4.3k Liq.

2

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

40%

Pause–Pause–Cut

$7.6k Vol.

$121k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

4%

$189k Vol.

$15.5k Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

89%

↓ 3.25%

$567k Vol.

$175k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

78%

4.4%

$67.8k Vol.

$24.7k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

76%

December 31

$81.0k Vol.

$12.4k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

69%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$52.8k Vol.

$72.4k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

13%

$34.7k Vol.

$9.3k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Jerome Powell

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

95%

$7.2k Vol.

$4.1k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

9%

$2.0k Vol.

$2.0k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months