Fed decision in January?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in January?

95%

No change

$315m Vol.

$29m today

$16m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 14 days

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

40%

Kevin Warsh

$179m Vol.

$6m today

$4m Liq.

411

Ends in 12 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

28%

2 (50 bps)

$2m Vol.

$192k today

$971k Liq.

25

Ends in 12 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

9%

May 14

$345k Vol.

$109k today

$167k Liq.

13

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in March?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in March?

67%

No change

$2m Vol.

$105k today

$378k Liq.

418

Ends in 2 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

74%

June Meeting

$232k Vol.

$71.6k today

$87.1k Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

13%

$80.4k Vol.

$73.6k Liq.

26

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

4%

$22.8k Vol.

$38.0k Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Fed decision in April?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in April?

69%

No change

$625k Vol.

$288k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

51%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$20.5k Vol.

$113k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

95%

↓ 3.25%

$293k Vol.

$201k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Jerome Powell

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

30%

$5.7k Vol.

$4.5k Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

25%

3.25%

$9.7k Vol.

$217k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

54%

December 31

$51.9k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 12 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

45%

4.3%

$14.2k Vol.

$25.7k Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

89%

4.3%

$16.6k Vol.

$14.4k Liq.

Ends in 12 months

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?

9%

January 31

$2.0k Vol.

$3.5k Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

12%

$15.9k Vol.

$21.2k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Jerome Powell

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

45%

2

$13.6k Vol.

$6.6k Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Fed Decision in June?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

47%

No change

$2.9k Vol.

$131k Liq.

Ends in 5 months