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Fed decision in January?
$315m Vol.
$29m today
$16m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 14 days
95%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$179m Vol.
$6m today
$4m Liq.
411
Ends in 12 months
40%
Kevin Warsh
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$2m Vol.
$192k today
$971k Liq.
25
28%
2 (50 bps)
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$345k Vol.
$109k today
$167k Liq.
13
Ends in 4 months
9%
May 14
Fed decision in March?
$105k today
$378k Liq.
418
Ends in 2 months
67%
Fed rate cut by...?
$232k Vol.
$71.6k today
$87.1k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
74%
June Meeting
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$80.4k Vol.
$73.6k Liq.
26
Ends in 6 months
13%
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?
$22.8k Vol.
$38.0k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
4%
Fed decision in April?
$625k Vol.
$288k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
69%
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
$20.5k Vol.
$113k Liq.
51%
Pause–Pause–Pause
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$293k Vol.
$201k Liq.
3
↓ 3.25%
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?
$5.7k Vol.
$4.5k Liq.
30%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$9.7k Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 11 months
25%
3.25%
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$51.9k Vol.
$6.5k Liq.
54%
December 31
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
$14.2k Vol.
$25.7k Liq.
45%
4.3%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$16.6k Vol.
$14.4k Liq.
89%
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by...?
$2.0k Vol.
$3.5k Liq.
January 31
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$15.9k Vol.
$21.2k Liq.
12%
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$13.6k Vol.
$6.6k Liq.
2
Fed Decision in June?
$2.9k Vol.
$131k Liq.
47%
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