Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Jerome Powell·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

99%

$40.9K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$103K Liq.

36

Ends in about 2 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

67%

December 31

$112K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

1%

$16.6K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

3%

$233K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

33

Ends in 3 months

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

94%

Kevin Warsh

$10M Vol.

$840K today

$1M Liq.

60

Ends in 7 months

Fed decision in April?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Fed decision in April?

95%

No change

$19M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Jerome Powell·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

36%

0 (0 bps)

$12M Vol.

$298K today

$1M Liq.

44

Ends in 9 months

Fed Decision in June?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Fed Decision in June?

85%

No change

$3M Vol.

$66.5K today

$847K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in July?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Fed Decision in July?

77%

No change

$48.2K Vol.

$260K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Jerome Powell·Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

22%

$311K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Fed rate cut by...?
Jerome Powell·Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

65%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$140K Liq.

14

Ends in 3 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Jerome Powell·Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

35%

3.75%

$3M Vol.

$272K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Jerome Powell·Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

61%

↓ 3.25%

$724K Vol.

$193K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Jerome Powell·Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$350K Vol.

$39.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Jerome Powell·Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

80%

4.4%

$75.1K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
Jerome Powell·Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

77%

4.4%

$175K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Jerome Powell·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$233K Vol.

$82.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Jerome Powell·Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

49%

1

$58 Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?
Jerome Powell·Politics

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

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