Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

37

Ends in about 1 month

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

59%

June 30

$11.8K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

2%

$255K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

33

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

67%

December 31

$121K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$27M Vol.

$652K today

$1M Liq.

78

Ends in 7 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$73M Vol.

$3M today

$3M Liq.

6

Ends in 17 days

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$18M Vol.

$218K today

$1M Liq.

53

Ends in 9 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

92%

No change

$7M Vol.

$105K today

$938K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

83%

No change

$3M Vol.

$73.2K today

$338K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

36%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$329K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

63%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$214K Liq.

18

Ends in 2 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

68%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$275K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$479K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

54%

1

$23.3K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

16%

$865K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

74%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$6.6K Vol.

$125K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

81%

4.5%

$185K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

23%

October Meeting

$31.2K Vol.

$215K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$786K Vol.

$95.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

4%

$3.7K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 133 active markets for Jerome Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $141.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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