Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

98%

Kevin Warsh

$393m Vol.

$11m today

$54m Liq.

1,214

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in March?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in March?

91%

No change

$54m Vol.

$5m today

$4m Liq.

418

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

26%

3 (75 bps)

$4m Vol.

$90.4k today

$843k Liq.

35

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in April?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed decision in April?

78%

No change

$1m Vol.

$54.9k today

$397k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in June?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Fed Decision in June?

47%

25 bps decrease

$127k Vol.

$281k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

3%

$180k Vol.

$17.6k Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$847k Vol.

$89.9k Liq.

31

Ends in 3 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

89%

↓ 3.25%

$561k Vol.

$183k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Jerome Powell

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

66%

June Meeting

$708k Vol.

$84.6k Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Jerome Powell

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

31%

3.0%

$123k Vol.

$184k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

43%

Pause–Pause–Cut

$3.8k Vol.

$126k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

73%

December 31

$79.3k Vol.

$13.1k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Jerome Powell

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

15%

$57.4k Vol.

$11.0k Liq.

2

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

13%

$33.7k Vol.

$11.9k Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

45%

4.4%

$71.9k Vol.

$24.1k Liq.

7

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Jerome Powell

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

12%

$1.3k Vol.

$1.9k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Jerome Powell

Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

47%

1

$4.8k Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Jerome Powell

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

71%

4.4%

$65.9k Vol.

$23.3k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Jerome Powell

Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

69%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$51.0k Vol.

$75.5k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

Jerome Powell

Politics

March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?

4%

$6.6k Vol.

$5.5k Liq.

Ends in 24 days