Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 20% implied probability for silver (SI) settling below $50 in June, leading amid closely contested outcomes reflecting heightened uncertainty after a sharp correction from $121 peaks in early March to current spot levels near $68 per ounce. This downside tilt stems from recent U.S. dollar strength—DXY at four-month highs—and rising 10-year Treasury yields pressuring non-yielding precious metals, compounded by delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts and profit-taking following 2025's 130%+ surge driven by industrial demand in solar and electronics. Structural tailwinds persist via six consecutive years of supply deficits, but key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC signals, with any inflation undershoot or risk-off escalation potentially deepening the pullback toward $60-$70 territory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Silver (SI) settle at in June?
What will Silver (SI) settle at in June?
<$50 20%
$60-$70 14.5%
$70-$80 13.5%
>$115 13%
$432,720 Vol.
$432,720 Vol.
<$50
20%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
13%
$80-$90
12%
$90-$100
12%
$100-$115
10%
>$115
13%
<$50 20%
$60-$70 14.5%
$70-$80 13.5%
>$115 13%
$432,720 Vol.
$432,720 Vol.
<$50
20%
$50-$60
11%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
13%
$80-$90
12%
$90-$100
12%
$100-$115
10%
>$115
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 20% implied probability for silver (SI) settling below $50 in June, leading amid closely contested outcomes reflecting heightened uncertainty after a sharp correction from $121 peaks in early March to current spot levels near $68 per ounce. This downside tilt stems from recent U.S. dollar strength—DXY at four-month highs—and rising 10-year Treasury yields pressuring non-yielding precious metals, compounded by delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts and profit-taking following 2025's 130%+ surge driven by industrial demand in solar and electronics. Structural tailwinds persist via six consecutive years of supply deficits, but key swing factors include upcoming April CPI data and May FOMC signals, with any inflation undershoot or risk-off escalation potentially deepening the pullback toward $60-$70 territory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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