OPEC+ continues active coordination on global oil supplies, with seven core members—including Saudi Arabia and Russia—holding a June 7, 2026 videoconference to raise July output targets by 188,000 barrels per day and reaffirm commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. This follows similar May adjustments and the UAE’s April exit, which trimmed quotas but left the group’s institutional framework intact. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on sustained ministerial meetings, voluntary production management, and the absence of dissolution signals through mid-2026, reflecting the cartel’s historical resilience and ongoing role in balancing supply. A realistic challenge would require multiple additional exits or a breakdown in quota compliance that fragments decision-making before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
$29,584 Vol.
$29,584 Vol.
31 dez 2026
$29,584 Vol.
$29,584 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ continues active coordination on global oil supplies, with seven core members—including Saudi Arabia and Russia—holding a June 7, 2026 videoconference to raise July output targets by 188,000 barrels per day and reaffirm commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. This follows similar May adjustments and the UAE’s April exit, which trimmed quotas but left the group’s institutional framework intact. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on sustained ministerial meetings, voluntary production management, and the absence of dissolution signals through mid-2026, reflecting the cartel’s historical resilience and ongoing role in balancing supply. A realistic challenge would require multiple additional exits or a breakdown in quota compliance that fragments decision-making before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$29,584Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ continues active coordination on global oil supplies, with seven core members—including Saudi Arabia and Russia—holding a June 7, 2026 videoconference to raise July output targets by 188,000 barrels per day and reaffirm commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. This follows similar May adjustments and the UAE’s April exit, which trimmed quotas but left the group’s institutional framework intact. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on sustained ministerial meetings, voluntary production management, and the absence of dissolution signals through mid-2026, reflecting the cartel’s historical resilience and ongoing role in balancing supply. A realistic challenge would require multiple additional exits or a breakdown in quota compliance that fragments decision-making before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,584Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC+ continues active coordination on global oil supplies, with seven core members—including Saudi Arabia and Russia—holding a June 7, 2026 videoconference to raise July output targets by 188,000 barrels per day and reaffirm commitments to market stability amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions. This follows similar May adjustments and the UAE’s April exit, which trimmed quotas but left the group’s institutional framework intact. Traders price the 92.5% “No” probability on sustained ministerial meetings, voluntary production management, and the absence of dissolution signals through mid-2026, reflecting the cartel’s historical resilience and ongoing role in balancing supply. A realistic challenge would require multiple additional exits or a breakdown in quota compliance that fragments decision-making before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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